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Lausanne Ouchy vs Yverdon

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, Lausanne
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lausanne Ouchy host Yverdon in the Challenge League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Yverdon have shipped 1.27 goals a game lately, while Lausanne Ouchy have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.79. Head-to-head, Lausanne Ouchy have won 3 to Yverdon's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.88 - 1.19) back Yverdon to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Lausanne Ouchy
20%
Draws
35%
Yverdon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lausanne Ouchy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Yverdon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lausanne Ouchy's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lausanne Ouchy Clean Sheet 20%
Yverdon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lausanne Ouchy Yverdon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.79 2
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Yverdon
0:3
Mar 8, 2026 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Lausanne Ouchy
0:2
Dec 13, 2025 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Yverdon
4:0
Aug 3, 2025 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Lausanne Ouchy
3:2
May 11, 2024 Super League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Yverdon
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lausanne Ouchy 85 / 100
Yverdon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lausanne Ouchy Yverdon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lausanne Ouchy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Lausanne Ouchy went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Lausanne Ouchy found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Yverdon has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lausanne Ouchy VS Yverdon
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lausanne Ouchy

(Home)
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
04 Sept
Kriens
0 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
01 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
28 Aug
Winterthur
1 : 1
Lausanne Ouchy
21 Aug
Xamax
1 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
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Yverdon

(Away)
11 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 0
Yverdon
06 Sept
Yverdon
4 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
01 Sept
Xamax
1 : 2
Yverdon
28 Aug
Yverdon
1 : 1
Wil
23 Aug
Yverdon
2 : 1
Aarau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 8 6 2 0 17:3 20
2 Winterthur 8 4 3 1 17:7 15
3 Yverdon 8 4 3 1 14:9 15
4 Aarau 8 3 3 2 13:14 12
5 Xamax 8 4 0 4 12:14 12
6 Kriens 8 3 2 3 12:10 11
7 Etoile-Carouge 8 2 3 3 7:8 9
8 Rapperswil-Jona 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
9 Wil 8 1 3 4 10:21 6
10 Stade Nyonnais 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)