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Lausanne vs Lugano

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Stade de la Tuiliere, Lausanne
Lausanne Logo

Lausanne

0 - 4
FT
Lugano Logo

Lugano

Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Koindredi K.
4'
Cimignani Y.
7'
Youte Kinkoue E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lugano in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lugano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Lausanne
20%
Draws
74%
Lugano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lugano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lugano lately — more wins on the board than Lausanne.
  • Model gives Lugano a 74% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Lausanne Clean Sheet 10%
Lugano Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lausanne Lugano
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 11 21
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.58 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.68 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Super League
Lausanne vs Lugano
0:4
Feb 22, 2026 Super League
Lugano vs Lausanne
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Super League
Lausanne vs Lugano
0:0
Sep 17, 2025 Super League
Lugano vs Lausanne
1:1
May 18, 2025 Super League
Lausanne vs Lugano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lausanne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lugano Compare

Top Goalscorer Delcroix H.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lausanne 10 / 100
Lugano 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lausanne Lugano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lausanne scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Lugano let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Lausanne remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lausanne VS Lugano
1.38 Goals Scored 3.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lausanne

(Home)
20 Sept
Lausanne
0 : 4
Lugano
13 Sept
Lausanne
0 : 1
Servette
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1
Lausanne
02 Sept
Thun
0 : 0
Lausanne
29 Aug
Lausanne
2 : 3
Zurich
Page 1 of 7

Lugano

(Away)
20 Sept
Lausanne
0 : 4
Lugano
16 Sept
Lugano
4 : 1
St. Gallen
12 Sept
Lugano
2 : 2
Young Boys
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
03 Sept
Lugano
1 : 0
Servette
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 9 8 1 0 27:7 25
2 Young Boys 9 5 4 0 31:18 19
3 Sion 9 6 1 2 23:14 19
4 Basel 9 4 1 4 17:17 13
5 St. Gallen 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
6 Luzern 9 3 3 3 17:18 12
7 Zurich 9 3 2 4 14:20 11
8 Servette 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
9 Thun 9 3 1 5 15:23 10
10 Grasshoppers 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
11 Vaduz 9 2 0 7 18:21 6
12 Lausanne 9 1 3 5 7:15 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)