Sport Picks

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Lautaro vs Osorno

Chile Chile

Segunda Division 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lautaro play Osorno in the Segunda Division 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lautaro averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Osorno averaged 1.65 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Lautaro won 1, Osorno won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 31, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Lautaro and 1.49 for Osorno. This points to a Osorno double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Lautaro
25%
Draws
46%
Osorno
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Osorno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Lautaro picked up more points recently compared to Osorno.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.49 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Lautaro Clean Sheet 16%
Osorno Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lautaro Osorno
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 4 11
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.1 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.94

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2024 Segunda Division
Lautaro vs Osorno
1:2
Apr 21, 2024 Segunda Division
Osorno vs Lautaro
1:0
Oct 15, 2023 Segunda Division
Osorno vs Lautaro
1:1
Jun 3, 2023 Segunda Division
Lautaro vs Osorno
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lautaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidal Latorre E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Osorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Orellana M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lautaro 29 / 100
Osorno 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lautaro Osorno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Osorno or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lautaro attacking → ← attacking Osorno

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lautaro scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Osorno let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Lautaro went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Osorno lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 56
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1D. Concepcion26176353:2357
2Melipilla26176359:2554
3D. Puerto Montt26126831:2642
4Deportes Rengo26116933:2839
5San Antonio Unido26116931:4139
6General Velasquez26107940:3337
7Osorno2699842:4336
8Provincial Ovalle26961128:3133
9Concon National26951233:3632
10Linares Unido26861231:3230
11Trasandino26931423:3730
12Real San Joaquin26691127:4027
13Lautaro26831529:5227
14Arturo Fernandez Vial26381522:358