Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lautoka vs Henderson Eels

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2019 Churchill Park, Lautoka
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Felani H.
24' Event
Kalo B.
29' Event
Allan D.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Henderson Eels in this OFC Champions League 2019 matchup, with the score ending 5-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Henderson Eels.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lautoka
20%
Draws
46%
Henderson Eels
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Henderson Eels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Lautoka have won more games recently than Henderson Eels.
  • Henderson Eels are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Lautoka Clean Sheet 19%
Henderson Eels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lautoka Henderson Eels
Matches Played 34 7
Wins 18 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 2.24 3.43
Goals Conceded 1.59 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2020 OFC Champions League
Henderson Eels vs Lautoka
3:2
Feb 13, 2019 OFC Champions League
Lautoka vs Henderson Eels
5:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lautoka Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalo B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vakatalesau O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Henderson Eels Compare

Top Goalscorer Nawo J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Felani H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lautoka 16 / 100
Henderson Eels 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lautoka Henderson Eels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Henderson Eels Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lautoka's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Henderson Eels let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Lautoka went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lautoka VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lautoka

(Home)
16 Aug
Lautoka
2 : 1
Nadi
14 Aug
Labasa
5 : 3
Lautoka
02 Aug
Lautoka
3 : 1
Nadroga
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Lautoka
1 : 2
Nasinu
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Henderson Eels

(Away)
21 Feb
Henderson Eels
3 : 2
Lautoka
18 Feb
Malampa Revivors
2 : 2
Henderson Eels
15 Feb
Lae City
3 : 3
Henderson Eels
07 Apr
Team Wellington
6 : 1
Henderson Eels
16 Feb
Henderson Eels
7 : 0
Morobe Wawens
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hienghene Sport 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Lae City 3 1 2 0 8:6 5
3 Tefana 3 0 2 1 6:7 2
4 Malampa Revivors 3 0 1 2 5:12 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Sport 3 2 1 0 12:4 7
2 Henderson Eels 3 2 0 1 15:8 6
3 Lautoka 3 1 1 1 12:8 4
4 Morobe Wawens 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Team Wellington 3 3 0 0 18:0 9
2 Ba 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 Erakor Golden Star 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Kiwi 3 0 0 3 1:20 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 23:1 9
2 Magenta 3 2 0 1 14:3 6
3 Solomon Warriors 3 1 0 2 10:10 3
4 Tupapa 3 0 0 3 2:35 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)