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Lautoka vs Nadi

Fiji Fiji

Premier League Churchill Park, Lautoka
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Abana J.
54' Event
Kamikamica J.
77' Event
Kamikamica J.

AI Match Summary

Lautoka in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lautoka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lautoka
15%
Draws
46%
Nadi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nadi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Nadi haven't matched Lautoka's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lautoka here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Lautoka Clean Sheet 14%
Nadi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lautoka Nadi
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 19 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.09 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Premier League
Lautoka vs Nadi
2:1
May 17, 2026 Premier League
Nadi vs Lautoka
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Premier League
Nadi vs Lautoka
1:2
May 4, 2025 Premier League
Lautoka vs Nadi
2:1
Aug 17, 2024 Premier League
Nadi vs Lautoka
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lautoka Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamikamica J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Nadi Compare

Top Goalscorer Abana J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lautoka 35 / 100
Nadi 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lautoka Nadi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nadi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lautoka scored in 94% of their last 32 outings.

Nadi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Lautoka went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lautoka VS Nadi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lautoka

(Home)
16 Aug
Lautoka
2 : 1
Nadi
14 Aug
Labasa
5 : 3
Lautoka
02 Aug
Lautoka
3 : 1
Nadroga
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Lautoka
1 : 2
Nasinu
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Nadi

(Away)
16 Aug
Lautoka
2 : 1
Nadi
09 Aug
Nadi
3 : 2
Nadroga
31 Jul
Nasinu
2 : 3
Nadi
26 Jul
Nadi
1 : 1
Rewa
19 Jul
Tailevu Naitasiri
1 : 0
Nadi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ba 18 13 3 2 54:14 42
2 Labasa 18 11 5 2 44:21 38
3 Rewa 18 10 2 6 39:17 32
4 Lautoka 18 7 5 6 37:35 26
5 Navua 18 7 4 7 25:23 25
6 Suva 18 6 5 7 38:28 23
7 Nadi 18 6 3 9 25:29 21
8 Nasinu 18 6 3 9 27:42 21
9 Nadroga 18 3 4 11 22:50 13
10 Tailevu Naitasiri 18 2 4 12 20:72 10
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Preliminary)