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Lavagnese vs Cairese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Lavagnese Logo

Lavagnese

0 - 1
FT
Cairese Logo

Cairese

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Graziani T. U20
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Lavagnese and Cairese finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cairese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Lavagnese
15%
Draws
64%
Cairese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cairese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Cairese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Cairese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Lavagnese Clean Sheet 16%
Cairese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lavagnese Cairese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.9 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Cairese
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Lavagnese
1:1
Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Cairese
3:0
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Lavagnese
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lavagnese 19 / 100
Cairese 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lavagnese Cairese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cairese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lavagnese scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Cairese conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Cairese lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lavagnese VS Cairese
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lavagnese

(Home)
03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3
Varese FC
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0
Lavagnese
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2
Vado
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0
Lavagnese
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Cairese

(Away)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
Cairese
4 : 0
Valenzana
19 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Cairese
12 Apr
Cairese
0 : 1
Club Milano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)