Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
D'Antoni R.
(Penalty)
57'
57'
Bayo I.
67'
67'
Diop B.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lavagnese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- NovaRomentin have won more games recently than Lavagnese.
- Lavagnese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Lavagnese Clean Sheet 68%
NovaRomentin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lavagnese | NovaRomentin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 16 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 2.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs NovaRomentin
2:2
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Lavagnese
3:1
May 11, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Lavagnese
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Lavagnese
0:2
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs NovaRomentin
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lavagnese Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
NovaRomentin Compare
Top Goalscorer Bayo I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Diop B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lavagnese 95 / 100
NovaRomentin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lavagnese NovaRomentin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
NovaRomentin let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
NovaRomentin's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Lavagnese's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Lavagnese VS NovaRomentin
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lavagnese
(Home) 03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3 Varese FC
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2 Lavagnese
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0 Lavagnese
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2 Vado
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0 Lavagnese
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3 Varese FC
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2 Vado
28 Mar
Lavagnese
2 : 4 Club Milano
15 Mar
Lavagnese
2 : 1 Imperia Calcio
22 Feb
Lavagnese
0 : 1 Derthona FbC
Page 1 of 3
NovaRomentin
(Away) 03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1 NovaRomentin
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5 Vado
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1 NovaRomentin
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2 Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2 NovaRomentin
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1 NovaRomentin
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1 NovaRomentin
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2 NovaRomentin
22 Mar
Saluzzo
3 : 0 NovaRomentin
01 Mar
Celle Varazze
0 : 2 NovaRomentin
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vado | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 69:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Ligorna | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 64:26 | 72 |
| 3 | AS Biellese | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 48:29 | 57 |
| 4 | Varese FC | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 43:43 | 56 |
| 5 | Chisola | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 44:36 | 55 |
| 6 | Sestri Levante | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54:34 | 54 |
| 7 | Sanremese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:30 | 49 |
| 8 | Valenzana | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Celle Varazze | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Saluzzo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48:44 | 43 |
| 11 | Club Milano | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43:49 | 42 |
| 12 | Imperia Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:44 | 41 |
| 13 | Cairese | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 29:34 | 40 |
| 14 | Derthona FbC | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Gozzano | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 37:42 | 39 |
| 16 | Asti Calcio | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:42 | 35 |
| 17 | Lavagnese | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 32:52 | 27 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 26:82 | 16 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)
