Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lavagnese vs Vallee d'Aoste

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lavagnese in this Serie D - Group A 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lavagnese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lavagnese
15%
Draws
0%
Vallee d'Aoste
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lavagnese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lavagnese lately — more wins on the board than Vallee d'Aoste.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lavagnese Clean Sheet 19%
Vallee d'Aoste Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lavagnese Vallee d'Aoste
Matches Played 45 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 13 6
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.33 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Vallee d'Aoste
4:1
Sep 13, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Vallee d'Aoste vs Lavagnese
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lavagnese 31 / 100
Vallee d'Aoste 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lavagnese Vallee d'Aoste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lavagnese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vallee d'Aoste's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Vallee d'Aoste registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Lavagnese's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 45 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lavagnese VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lavagnese

(Home)
03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3
Varese FC
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0
Lavagnese
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2
Vado
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0
Lavagnese
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Vallee d'Aoste

(Away)
10 May
Acqui US
3 : 1
Vallee d'Aoste
03 May
Vallee d'Aoste
0 : 1
Cuneo
26 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
3 : 1
Vallee d'Aoste
19 Apr
Vallee d'Aoste
2 : 3
AC Chieri
12 Apr
Derthona FbC
2 : 0
Vallee d'Aoste
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuneo 38 24 7 7 63:30 79
2 Sestri Levante 38 22 12 4 48:24 78
3 AC Chieri 38 22 8 8 60:36 74
4 Borgosesia Calcio 38 22 7 9 73:46 73
5 Caronnese 38 19 14 5 62:33 71
6 Pro Settimo 38 19 9 10 56:41 66
7 Bra 38 18 11 9 68:49 65
8 OltrepoVoghera 38 18 7 13 59:50 61
9 Lavagnese 38 16 10 12 50:43 58
10 Acqui US 38 14 12 12 53:49 54
11 Sporting Bellinzago 38 14 9 15 56:60 51
12 Vado 38 13 8 17 54:62 47
13 Novese 38 12 9 17 45:48 45
14 Asti Calcio 38 11 11 16 40:50 44
15 Argentina 38 11 11 16 58:70 44
16 RapalloBogliasco 38 11 9 18 46:57 42
17 Sancolombano 38 7 12 19 29:48 33
18 Derthona FbC 38 6 9 23 30:61 27
19 Vallee d'Aoste 38 5 6 27 37:74 21
20 Borgomanero 38 3 5 30 29:85 14
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
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Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)