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Laval vs Red Star - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Mandouki C.
37' Event
Renel S.
Assist: Khaoui S.
45' Event
Durand D.
Assist: Cabral K.

AI Match Summary

Red Star in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Red Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Laval
15%
Draws
26%
Red Star
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Laval

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Laval haven't matched Red Star's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Laval's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Laval Clean Sheet 68%
Red Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laval Red Star
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Ligue 2
Laval vs Red Star
1:2
Apr 3, 2026 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Laval
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Ligue 2
Laval vs Red Star
0:1
Jan 10, 2025 Ligue 2
Laval vs Red Star
1:1
Sep 20, 2024 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Laval
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laval Compare

Top Goalscorer Houdayer M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Red Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Renel S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Durand D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laval 59 / 100
Red Star 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laval Red Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Laval Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Laval scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Red Star has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Laval stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Laval VS Red Star
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Laval

(Home)
30 Oct
Laval
1 : 0
Boulogne
23 Oct
Nancy
1 : 0
Laval
16 Oct
Laval
3 : 3
Clermont
09 Oct
Pau
3 : 2
Laval
02 Oct
Laval
1 : 0
Rennes
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Red Star

(Away)
06 Nov
Dijon
1 : 0
Red Star
02 Nov
Red Star
1 : 4
Nancy
26 Oct
Montpellier
2 : 1
Red Star
17 Oct
Red Star
0 : 1
St Etienne
10 Oct
Clermont
2 : 3
Red Star
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 11 8 1 2 23:11 25
2 Montpellier 11 7 3 1 16:6 24
3 Nancy 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
4 Reims 11 5 6 0 22:12 21
5 Pau 11 6 2 3 16:11 20
6 Red Star 11 5 2 4 14:16 17
7 Annecy 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
8 Dijon 11 4 3 4 20:19 15
9 Guingamp 11 4 2 5 16:15 14
10 Metz 11 3 5 3 17:17 14
11 Rodez 11 4 1 6 17:22 13
12 Dunkerque 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 Sochaux 11 2 5 4 8:14 11
14 Boulogne 11 1 7 3 7:8 10
15 Nantes 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
16 Laval 11 2 3 6 14:21 9
17 Clermont 11 0 8 3 10:15 8
18 Grenoble 11 2 2 7 10:20 8
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)