Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Laval vs Rouen

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Rocha Santos K.
25' Event
Sellouki M.
Assist: Houdayer M.
35'
Thomas T.

AI Match Summary

Laval in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Laval
17%
Draws
13%
Rouen
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Laval

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Laval haven't matched Rouen's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Laval taking it.
  • Rouen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Laval, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Laval Clean Sheet 68%
Rouen Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laval Rouen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 12
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Ligue 2
Laval vs Rouen
1:0
May 19, 2026 Ligue 2
Rouen vs Laval
1:1
Jul 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Laval vs Rouen
1:1
Jul 16, 2011 Club Friendly
Laval vs Rouen
3:1
Dec 15, 2007 Coupe de France
Rouen vs Laval
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laval Compare

Top Goalscorer Sellouki M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Rouen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laval 77 / 100
Rouen 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laval Rouen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Laval scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Rouen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Laval remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Laval VS Rouen
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Laval

(Home)
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2
Concarneau
22 Jul
Laval
2 : 1
Avranches
18 Jul
Caen
4 : 2
Laval
15 Jul
Laval
5 : 0
Quevilly
24 May
Laval
1 : 0
Rouen
Page 1 of 6

Rouen

(Away)
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 May
Laval
1 : 0
Rouen
19 May
Rouen
1 : 1
Laval
15 May
Fleury-Merogis
1 : 2
Rouen
09 May
Rouen
1 : 3
Versailles
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Laval2
Rouen1