Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Laval vs Rouen

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Rocha Santos K.
25' Event
Sellouki M.
Assist: Houdayer M.
35'
Thomas T.

AI Match Summary

Laval in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Laval
30%
Draws
61%
Rouen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rouen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Laval haven't matched Rouen's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Rouen taking it.
  • Rouen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Laval, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Laval Clean Sheet 12%
Rouen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laval Rouen
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 11 11
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.68 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Ligue 2
Laval vs Rouen
1:0
May 19, 2026 Ligue 2
Rouen vs Laval
1:1
Jul 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Laval vs Rouen
1:1
Jul 16, 2011 Club Friendly
Laval vs Rouen
3:1
Dec 15, 2007 Coupe de France
Rouen vs Laval
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laval Compare

Top Goalscorer Sellouki M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Rouen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laval 10 / 100
Rouen 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laval Rouen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rouen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Laval scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Rouen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Laval remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Laval VS Rouen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Laval

(Home)
18 Sept
Laval
1 : 1
Sochaux
11 Sept
Dijon
3 : 2
Laval
04 Sept
Laval
1 : 2
Red Star
28 Aug
Laval
0 : 3
Grenoble
22 Aug
Metz
1 : 1
Laval
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Rouen

(Away)
12 Sept
Thionville
0 : 4
Rouen
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1
Valenciennes
29 Aug
Villefranche
0 : 2
Rouen
20 Aug
Rouen
3 : 0
Quevilly
14 Aug
Orleans
1 : 2
Rouen
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Laval 2
Rouen 1