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Lavarian Mortean Esperia vs Cjarlins Muzane - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Pavan N.
47' Event
Serena F.
67' Event
Tremolada L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C game between Lavarian Mortean Esperia and Cjarlins Muzane finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cjarlins Muzane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
20%
Draws
56%
Cjarlins Muzane
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cjarlins Muzane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Cjarlins Muzane carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cjarlins Muzane's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Lavarian Mortean Esperia Clean Sheet 14%
Cjarlins Muzane Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lavarian Mortean Esperia Cjarlins Muzane
Matches Played 6 31
Wins 2 12
Draws 2 10
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Lavarian Mortean Esperia vs Cjarlins Muzane
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lavarian Mortean Esperia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Cjarlins Muzane Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavan N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serena F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lavarian Mortean Esperia 10 / 100
Cjarlins Muzane 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lavarian Mortean Esperia Cjarlins Muzane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cjarlins Muzane Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lavarian Mortean Esperia found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (6 games).

Cjarlins Muzane has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Lavarian Mortean Esperia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lavarian Mortean Esperia VS Cjarlins Muzane
0.71 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lavarian Mortean Esperia

(Home)
03 Oct
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
0 : 3
Cjarlins Muzane
27 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 1
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
20 Sept
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
1 : 2
Campodarsego
16 Sept
FC Obermais
1 : 1
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
13 Sept
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
0 : 0
Altavilla
Page 1 of 2

Cjarlins Muzane

(Away)
03 Oct
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
0 : 3
Cjarlins Muzane
27 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
3 : 0
Triestina
20 Sept
Este
1 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
16 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
0 : 1
Conegliano
12 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
4 : 1
Campodarsego
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cjarlins Muzane 6 5 0 1 17:5 15
2 Luparense FC 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
3 Calcio San Dona 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
4 Mestre 6 2 4 0 9:6 10
5 Campodarsego 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Clodiense 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
7 Bassano Virtus 6 2 3 1 6:3 9
8 Calvi Noale 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Lavarian Mortean Esperia 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
10 Este 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
11 Legnago Salus 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 Conegliano 6 2 1 3 3:7 7
13 Altavilla 6 1 3 2 14:9 6
14 Triestina 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
15 Virtus Bolzano 6 2 0 4 5:18 6
16 FC Obermais 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
17 Schio 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
18 Brian Lignano 6 1 0 5 7:14 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)