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Lavello vs Matera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Piccioni G.
20' Event
Donida N.
27'
Romano G.

AI Match Summary

Matera in this Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Lavello
20%
Draws
58%
Matera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Matera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Lavello haven't matched Matera's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Matera a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Lavello Clean Sheet 19%
Matera Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lavello Matera
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 11
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.62
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Lavello vs Matera
1:3
Dec 4, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Lavello
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lavello Compare

Top Goalscorer Liccardi V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Matera Compare

Top Goalscorer Piccioni G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Donida N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lavello 10 / 100
Matera 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lavello Matera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matera has conceded goals in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Lavello's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Lavello stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Matera
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lavello

(Home)
07 May
Gravina
3 : 1
Lavello
30 Apr
Lavello
4 : 3
Puteolana Internapoli
23 Apr
Francavilla
2 : 0
Lavello
16 Apr
Lavello
1 : 3
Matera
06 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1
Lavello
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Matera

(Away)
04 May
Matera
2 : 2
Nocerina
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4
Matera
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Matera
2 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brindisi 34 20 9 5 59:27 69
2 Cavese 34 20 9 5 66:35 69
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 18 11 5 51:26 65
4 Barletta 34 17 13 4 42:29 64
5 Casarano 34 13 18 3 46:32 57
6 Altamura 34 15 11 8 51:37 56
7 Matera 34 13 11 10 53:46 50
8 Martina Calcio 34 11 12 11 40:43 45
9 Citta di Fasano 34 11 11 12 43:43 44
10 Bitonto 34 11 10 13 45:51 43
11 Afragolese 34 8 15 11 41:45 39
12 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 13 13 42:55 37
13 Nocerina 34 9 9 16 40:51 36
14 Gravina 34 7 15 12 29:41 36
15 Molfetta Calcio 34 7 11 16 40:50 32
16 Francavilla 34 7 9 18 38:51 30
17 Lavello 34 7 5 22 31:68 26
18 Puteolana Internapoli 34 3 10 21 32:59 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Out)