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Lavis vs Adriese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Cantonati G.
90' Event
Ceccarini R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Lavis and Adriese finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lavis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Lavis
15%
Draws
85%
Adriese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adriese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Adriese come out ahead of Lavis on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lavis a 0% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Lavis Clean Sheet 20%
Adriese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lavis Adriese
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 6
Draws 2 4
Losses 26 22
Goals Scored 0.57 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Lavis vs Adriese
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Lavis
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lavis Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantonati G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ceccarini R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Adriese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lavis 40 / 100
Adriese 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lavis Adriese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lavis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adriese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Adriese's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Lavis found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Adriese
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lavis

(Home)
04 May
Cjarlins Muzane
2 : 1
Lavis
27 Apr
Lavis
0 : 1
Mestre
17 Apr
Este
3 : 2
Lavis
12 Apr
Bassano Virtus
5 : 0
Lavis
06 Apr
Lavis
0 : 1
Portogruaro
Page 1 of 6

Adriese

(Away)
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Clodiense
2 : 1
Adriese
19 Apr
Adriese
0 : 1
Campodarsego
11 Apr
Calvi Noale
2 : 0
Adriese
02 Apr
Adriese
0 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)