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Lavis vs Treviso

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Gioe B.
61' Event
Sbampato E.
66' Event
Valenti N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Lavis and Treviso finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Treviso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Lavis
20%
Draws
80%
Treviso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Treviso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Treviso carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Treviso's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Lavis Clean Sheet 20%
Treviso Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lavis Treviso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 14
Draws 2 8
Losses 26 8
Goals Scored 0.57 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.43 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Lavis vs Treviso
0:3
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Treviso vs Lavis
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lavis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Treviso Compare

Top Goalscorer Gioe B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sbampato E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lavis 10 / 100
Treviso 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lavis Treviso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treviso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Lavis found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Treviso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Treviso has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Treviso
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lavis

(Home)
04 May
Cjarlins Muzane
2 : 1
Lavis
27 Apr
Lavis
0 : 1
Mestre
17 Apr
Este
3 : 2
Lavis
12 Apr
Bassano Virtus
5 : 0
Lavis
06 Apr
Lavis
0 : 1
Portogruaro
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Treviso

(Away)
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2
Treviso
13 Sept
Treviso
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
07 Sept
Alcione Milano
1 : 1
Treviso
31 Aug
Treviso
1 : 0
Lecco
23 Aug
Trento
2 : 1
Treviso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)