Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Pavlovic S.
58'
58'
Sub
Vecino M. In: Dele-Bashiru F.
Out: Vecino M.
58'
58'
Sub
Castellanos T. In: Noslin T.
Out: Castellanos T.
AI Match Summary
Lazio in this Coppa Italia 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lazio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Lazio have won more games recently than AC Milan.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Lazio have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Lazio, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Lazio Clean Sheet 18%
AC Milan Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lazio | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Serie A
Lazio vs AC Milan
1:0
Dec 4, 2025 Coppa Italia
Lazio vs AC Milan
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Serie A
AC Milan vs Lazio
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 Serie A
AC Milan vs Lazio
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 Serie A
Lazio vs AC Milan
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lazio Compare
Top Goalscorer Zaccagni M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
AC Milan Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lazio 36 / 100
AC Milan 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lazio AC Milan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AC Milan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lazio's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
AC Milan let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Lazio remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lazio VS AC Milan
2.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lazio
(Home) 07 Sept
Udinese
1 : 2 Lazio
30 Aug
Lazio
1 : 0 Genoa
24 Aug
Bologna
0 : 1 Lazio
16 Aug
Lazio
0 : 2 Mantova
09 Aug
Frosinone
1 : 2 Lazio
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Lazio
1 : 0 Genoa
16 Aug
Lazio
0 : 2 Mantova
05 Aug
Lazio
4 : 0 Ostiamare
01 Aug
Lazio
6 : 3 Avellino
26 Jul
Lazio
6 : 0 Flaminia
Page 1 of 3
AC Milan
(Away) 06 Sept
Juventus
1 : 1 AC Milan
28 Aug
AC Milan
2 : 0 Venezia
23 Aug
Torino
1 : 2 AC Milan
15 Aug
Manchester United
2 : 4 AC Milan
08 Aug
Chelsea
3 : 0 AC Milan
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Juventus
1 : 1 AC Milan
23 Aug
Torino
1 : 2 AC Milan
15 Aug
Manchester United
2 : 4 AC Milan
08 Aug
Chelsea
3 : 0 AC Milan
25 Jul
Celtic
2 : 2 AC Milan
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
Pescara 1
Rimini 0
Spezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
TBD -
TBD -
Bari -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
TBD -
TBD -
Reggiana -
Genoa -
TBD -
Padova 0
Vicenza 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Avellino 0
Verona -
TBD -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Frosinone -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Entella 4
Ternana 0
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Catanzaro -
1/32-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma 2
Pescara 0
Spezia 2
Sampdoria 1
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan 2
Bari 0
Lecce 2
Juve Stabia 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli 2
Reggiana 1
Genoa 3
Vicenza 0
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Carrarese 0
Cremonese 0
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Verona 2
Venezia 4
Mantova 0
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino 1
Modena 0
Pisa 1
Cesena 0
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza 0
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 2
Entella 1
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como 3
Sudtirol 1
Sassuolo 1
Catanzaro 0
1/16-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
Parma 3
Spezia 2
Lazio -
TBD -
AC Milan 3
Lecce 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
Empoli 1
Genoa 3
Juventus -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
Verona 0
Venezia 1
AS Roma -
TBD -
Torino 1
Pisa 0
Napoli -
TBD -
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 4
Fiorentina -
TBD -
Como 3
Sassuolo 0
1/8-finals
Bologna 2
Parma 1
Lazio 1
AC Milan 0
Atalanta 4
Genoa 0
Juventus 2
Udinese 0
Inter 5
Venezia 1
AS Roma 2
Torino 3
Napoli 2
Cagliari 1
Fiorentina 1
Como 3
Quarter-finals
Bologna 1
Lazio 2
Atalanta 3
Juventus 0
Inter 2
Torino 1
Napoli 1
Como 2
Semi-finals
Lazio 4
Atalanta 3
Inter 3
Como 2
Final
Lazio 0
Inter 2
