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Stadium Background

Lazio vs Cagliari - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Nzola M.
Assist: Fadera A.
32'
Sub
Fadera A. In: Kofler R.
Out: Fadera A.
36' Event
Isaksen G.
Assist: Noslin T.

AI Match Summary

Lazio in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lazio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lazio
15%
Draws
5%
Cagliari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lazio lately — more wins on the board than Cagliari.
  • Win probability leans Lazio's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lazio here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lazio Clean Sheet 20%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio Cagliari
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 22 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Serie A
Lazio vs Cagliari
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Serie A
Cagliari vs Lazio
0:0
Nov 3, 2025 Serie A
Lazio vs Cagliari
2:0
Feb 3, 2025 Serie A
Cagliari vs Lazio
1:2
Nov 4, 2024 Serie A
Lazio vs Cagliari
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lazio Compare

Top Goalscorer Isaksen G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinamonti A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Cagliari Compare

Top Goalscorer Nzola M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio 85 / 100
Cagliari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio Cagliari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Lazio remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Lazio scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Cagliari has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lazio VS Cagliari
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio

(Home)
01 Nov
Lazio
2 : 1
Cagliari
27 Oct
Sassuolo
2 : 6
Lazio
24 Oct
Lazio
2 : 1
Parma
18 Oct
Juventus
0 : 3
Lazio
11 Oct
Lazio
3 : 1
Monza
Page 1 of 7

Cagliari

(Away)
01 Nov
Lazio
2 : 1
Cagliari
27 Oct
AS Roma
4 : 2
Cagliari
24 Oct
Cagliari
0 : 2
Bologna
19 Oct
Monza
4 : 0
Cagliari
11 Oct
Cagliari
1 : 1
Juventus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lazio 10 9 1 0 24:8 28
2 Inter 10 8 1 1 26:13 25
3 AS Roma 10 7 3 0 28:10 24
4 Como 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
5 AC Milan 10 6 3 1 21:12 21
6 Frosinone 10 6 2 2 24:14 20
7 Juventus 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
8 Napoli 10 4 2 4 17:13 14
9 Bologna 10 4 2 4 14:13 14
10 Torino 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
11 Genoa 10 4 1 5 10:14 13
12 Cagliari 10 4 1 5 9:15 13
13 Atalanta 10 3 2 5 16:20 11
14 Lecce 10 3 0 7 11:21 9
15 Parma 10 2 2 6 8:15 8
16 Fiorentina 10 2 2 6 15:23 8
17 Sassuolo 10 2 2 6 16:26 8
18 Monza 10 2 1 7 17:24 7
19 Venezia 11 2 0 9 8:21 6
20 Udinese 11 1 2 8 12:25 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)