Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lazio vs Inter

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia 2025/2026 Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Bisseck Y.
14' Event
Marusic A.
Own Goal
16'
Bastoni A.

AI Match Summary

Inter in this Coppa Italia 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lazio
33%
Draws
27%
Inter
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter lately — more wins on the board than Lazio.
  • Win probability leans Lazio's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Inter arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Inter, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Inter have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Lazio Clean Sheet 68%
Inter Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio Inter
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 19
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.38 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Coppa Italia
Lazio vs Inter
0:2
May 9, 2026 Serie A
Lazio vs Inter
0:3
Nov 9, 2025 Serie A
Inter vs Lazio
2:0
May 18, 2025 Serie A
Inter vs Lazio
2:2
Feb 25, 2025 Coppa Italia
Inter vs Lazio
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lazio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Inter Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio 50 / 100
Inter 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio Inter

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lazio's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Inter's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Lazio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lazio VS Inter
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio

(Home)
26 Jul
Lazio
6 : 0
Flaminia
23 May
Lazio
2 : 1
Pisa
17 May
AS Roma
2 : 0
Lazio
13 May
Lazio
0 : 2
Inter
09 May
Lazio
0 : 3
Inter
Page 1 of 6

Inter

(Away)
26 Jul
Karlsruher
1 : 2
Inter
23 May
Bologna
3 : 3
Inter
17 May
Inter
1 : 1
Verona
13 May
Lazio
0 : 2
Inter
09 May
Lazio
0 : 3
Inter
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bologna-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Parma-
TBD-
Pescara1
Rimini0
Spezia-
TBD-
TBD-
Sampdoria-
Lazio-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AC Milan-
TBD-
TBD-
Bari-
Lecce-
TBD-
TBD-
Juve Stabia-
Atalanta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Empoli-
TBD-
TBD-
Reggiana-
Genoa-
TBD-
Padova0
Vicenza2
Juventus-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Udinese-
TBD-
TBD-
Carrarese-
Cremonese-
TBD-
TBD-
Palermo-
Inter-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Audace Cerignola1
Avellino0
Verona-
TBD-
Venezia-
TBD-
TBD-
Mantova-
AS Roma-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Torino-
TBD-
TBD-
Modena-
Pisa-
TBD-
TBD-
Cesena-
Napoli-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Monza-
TBD-
TBD-
Frosinone-
Cagliari-
TBD-
Entella4
Ternana0
Fiorentina-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Como-
TBD-
TBD-
Sudtirol-
Sassuolo-
TBD-
TBD-
Catanzaro-
1/32-finals
Bologna-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Parma2
Pescara0
Spezia2
Sampdoria1
Lazio-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AC Milan2
Bari0
Lecce2
Juve Stabia0
Atalanta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Empoli2
Reggiana1
Genoa3
Vicenza0
Juventus-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Udinese2
Carrarese0
Cremonese0
Palermo1
Inter-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Audace Cerignola1
Verona2
Venezia4
Mantova0
AS Roma-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Torino1
Modena0
Pisa1
Cesena0
Napoli-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Monza0
Frosinone1
Cagliari2
Entella1
Fiorentina-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Como3
Sudtirol1
Sassuolo1
Catanzaro0
1/16-finals
Bologna-
TBD-
Parma3
Spezia2
Lazio-
TBD-
AC Milan3
Lecce0
Atalanta-
TBD-
Empoli1
Genoa3
Juventus-
TBD-
Udinese2
Palermo1
Inter-
TBD-
Verona0
Venezia1
AS Roma-
TBD-
Torino1
Pisa0
Napoli-
TBD-
Frosinone1
Cagliari4
Fiorentina-
TBD-
Como3
Sassuolo0
1/8-finals
Bologna2
Parma1
Lazio1
AC Milan0
Atalanta4
Genoa0
Juventus2
Udinese0
Inter5
Venezia1
AS Roma2
Torino3
Napoli2
Cagliari1
Fiorentina1
Como3
Quarter-finals
Bologna1
Lazio2
Atalanta3
Juventus0
Inter2
Torino1
Napoli1
Como2
Semi-finals
Lazio4
Atalanta3
Inter3
Como2
Final
Lazio0
Inter2