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Lazio vs Lecce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lazio host Lecce in the Serie A. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Lazio at 2.17 goals for, 1.14 against; Lecce at 1.07 for, 1.62 against. Head-to-head, Lazio have won 3 to Lecce's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.25 vs 1.06, favoring Lazio. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Lazio
15%
Draws
14%
Lecce
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Lazio have won more games recently than Lecce.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Lazio taking it.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Lazio Clean Sheet 20%
Lecce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio Lecce
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Serie A
Lecce vs Lazio
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Serie A
Lazio vs Lecce
2:0
May 25, 2025 Serie A
Lazio vs Lecce
0:1
Dec 21, 2024 Serie A
Lecce vs Lazio
1:2
Jan 14, 2024 Serie A
Lazio vs Lecce
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio 85 / 100
Lecce 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio Lecce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lazio found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Lazio remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Lecce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Lecce has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lazio VS Lecce
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio

(Home)
01 Nov
Lazio
2 : 1
Cagliari
27 Oct
Sassuolo
2 : 6
Lazio
24 Oct
Lazio
2 : 1
Parma
18 Oct
Juventus
0 : 3
Lazio
11 Oct
Lazio
3 : 1
Monza
Page 1 of 6

Lecce

(Away)
01 Nov
Lecce
1 : 2
Genoa
29 Oct
Frosinone
5 : 1
Lecce
25 Oct
Lecce
0 : 2
Juventus
18 Oct
Udinese
0 : 3
Lecce
11 Oct
Lecce
1 : 2
Bologna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lazio 10 9 1 0 24:8 28
2 Inter 10 8 1 1 26:13 25
3 AS Roma 10 7 3 0 28:10 24
4 Como 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
5 AC Milan 10 6 3 1 21:12 21
6 Frosinone 10 6 2 2 24:14 20
7 Juventus 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
8 Napoli 10 4 2 4 17:13 14
9 Bologna 10 4 2 4 14:13 14
10 Torino 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
11 Genoa 10 4 1 5 10:14 13
12 Cagliari 10 4 1 5 9:15 13
13 Atalanta 10 3 2 5 16:20 11
14 Lecce 10 3 0 7 11:21 9
15 Parma 10 2 2 6 8:15 8
16 Fiorentina 10 2 2 6 15:23 8
17 Sassuolo 10 2 2 6 16:26 8
18 Monza 10 2 1 7 17:24 7
19 Udinese 10 1 2 7 11:23 5
20 Venezia 10 1 0 9 6:20 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)