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Lazio vs Mantova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Tomasevic B.
25'
Rovella N.
56'
Dele-Bashiru F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Lazio
15%
Draws
27%
Mantova
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lazio lately — more wins on the board than Mantova.
  • Lazio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Lazio have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lazio, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lazio Clean Sheet 20%
Mantova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio Mantova
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 21 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.13 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Coppa Italia
Lazio vs Mantova
0:2
Jul 27, 2019 Club Friendly
Lazio vs Mantova
4:0
Apr 30, 1967 Serie A
Lazio vs Mantova
1:0
Dec 24, 1966 Serie A
Mantova vs Lazio
0:0
May 23, 1965 Serie A
Mantova vs Lazio
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lazio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Mantova Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruocco F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cajazzo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio 85 / 100
Mantova 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio Mantova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lazio scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Lazio remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Mantova conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lazio VS Mantova
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio

(Home)
01 Nov
Lazio
2 : 1
Cagliari
27 Oct
Sassuolo
2 : 6
Lazio
24 Oct
Lazio
2 : 1
Parma
18 Oct
Juventus
0 : 3
Lazio
11 Oct
Lazio
3 : 1
Monza
Page 1 of 6

Mantova

(Away)
31 Oct
Modena
1 : 1
Mantova
27 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Cremonese
24 Oct
Entella
0 : 1
Mantova
17 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Palermo
11 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 3
Mantova
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Inter -
TBD -
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Genoa -
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Ascoli 3
Potenza 1
Catanzaro -
TBD -
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Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
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Lazio -
TBD -
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Mantova -
Lecce -
TBD -
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Palermo -
Torino -
TBD -
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Carrarese -
Monza -
TBD -
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Avellino -
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AC Milan -
Cremonese -
TBD -
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Sampdoria -
Vicenza 1
Catania 2
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Parma -
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Como -
AS Roma -
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Cagliari -
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Arezzo 2
Union Brescia 0
Verona -
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Entella -
Juventus -
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Sassuolo -
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Cesena -
Frosinone -
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Juve Stabia -
Udinese -
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Padova -
Venezia -
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Modena -
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Atalanta -
Pisa -
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Empoli -
Benevento 5
Ravenna 3
TBD -
Fiorentina -
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Napoli -
1/32-finals
Inter -
TBD -
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Genoa 4
Ascoli 1
Catanzaro 2
Sudtirol 3
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio 0
Mantova 2
Lecce 0
Palermo 2
Torino 1
Carrarese 0
Monza 3
Avellino 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Sampdoria 0
Catania 0
Parma 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Arezzo 0
Verona 3
Entella 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo 3
Cesena 0
Frosinone 4
Juve Stabia 1
Udinese 1
Padova 0
Venezia 3
Modena 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 2
Empoli 1
Benevento 1
Fiorentina 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/16-finals
Inter -
TBD -
Genoa 1
Sudtirol 0
Bologna -
TBD -
Mantova 2
Palermo 5
Torino 0
Monza 1
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Parma 0
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Verona 2
Juventus -
TBD -
Sassuolo 2
Frosinone 1
Udinese 2
Venezia 1
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 0
Fiorentina 3
TBD -
Napoli -
1/8-finals
Inter -
Genoa -
Bologna -
Palermo -
Monza -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
Como -
AS Roma -
Verona -
Juventus -
Sassuolo -
Udinese -
Atalanta -
Fiorentina -
Napoli -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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