Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lazio vs Mantova

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Tomasevic B.
25'
Rovella N.
56'
Dele-Bashiru F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lazio
30%
Draws
27%
Mantova
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lazio lately — more wins on the board than Mantova.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Lazio have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lazio, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lazio Clean Sheet 14%
Mantova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio Mantova
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.7 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Coppa Italia
Lazio vs Mantova
0:2
Jul 27, 2019 Club Friendly
Lazio vs Mantova
4:0
Apr 30, 1967 Serie A
Lazio vs Mantova
1:0
Dec 24, 1966 Serie A
Mantova vs Lazio
0:0
May 23, 1965 Serie A
Mantova vs Lazio
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lazio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Mantova Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruocco F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cajazzo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio 30 / 100
Mantova 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio Mantova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lazio has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lazio found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Mantova conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lazio VS Mantova
2.75 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio

(Home)
19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio
12 Sept
Lazio
2 : 2
AC Milan
07 Sept
Udinese
1 : 2
Lazio
30 Aug
Lazio
1 : 0
Genoa
24 Aug
Bologna
0 : 1
Lazio
Page 1 of 6

Mantova

(Away)
20 Sept
Mantova
2 : 2
Pisa
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Inter -
TBD -
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Genoa -
TBD -
Ascoli 3
Potenza 1
Catanzaro -
TBD -
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Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
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Lazio -
TBD -
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Mantova -
Lecce -
TBD -
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Palermo -
Torino -
TBD -
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Carrarese -
Monza -
TBD -
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Avellino -
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AC Milan -
Cremonese -
TBD -
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Sampdoria -
Vicenza 1
Catania 2
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Parma -
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Como -
AS Roma -
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Cagliari -
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Arezzo 2
Union Brescia 0
Verona -
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Entella -
Juventus -
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Sassuolo -
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Cesena -
Frosinone -
TBD -
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Juve Stabia -
Udinese -
TBD -
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Padova -
Venezia -
TBD -
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Modena -
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Atalanta -
Pisa -
TBD -
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Empoli -
Benevento 5
Ravenna 3
TBD -
Fiorentina -
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Napoli -
1/32-finals
Inter -
TBD -
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Genoa 4
Ascoli 1
Catanzaro 2
Sudtirol 3
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio 0
Mantova 2
Lecce 0
Palermo 2
Torino 1
Carrarese 0
Monza 3
Avellino 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Sampdoria 0
Catania 0
Parma 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Arezzo 0
Verona 3
Entella 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo 3
Cesena 0
Frosinone 4
Juve Stabia 1
Udinese 1
Padova 0
Venezia 3
Modena 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 2
Empoli 1
Benevento 1
Fiorentina 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/16-finals
Inter -
TBD -
Genoa 1
Sudtirol 0
Bologna -
TBD -
Mantova 2
Palermo 5
Torino 0
Monza 1
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Parma 0
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Verona 2
Juventus -
TBD -
Sassuolo 2
Frosinone 1
Udinese 2
Venezia 1
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 0
Fiorentina 3
TBD -
Napoli -
1/8-finals
Inter -
Genoa -
Bologna -
Palermo -
Monza -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
Como -
AS Roma -
Verona -
Juventus -
Sassuolo -
Udinese -
Atalanta -
Fiorentina -
Napoli -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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