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Lazio vs Parma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lazio host Parma in the Serie A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Lazio at 1.77 goals for, 1.1 against; Parma at 0.82 for, 1.21 against. Head-to-head, Lazio have won 2 to Parma's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 0.88) point toward Lazio. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lazio
30%
Draws
19%
Parma
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Parma haven't matched Lazio's recent run of results.
  • Lazio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Lazio Clean Sheet 68%
Parma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio Parma
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 18 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.77 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Serie A
Lazio vs Parma
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Serie A
Parma vs Lazio
0:1
Apr 28, 2025 Serie A
Lazio vs Parma
2:2
Dec 1, 2024 Serie A
Parma vs Lazio
3:1
May 12, 2021 Serie A
Lazio vs Parma
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio 95 / 100
Parma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio Parma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Lazio stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Lazio scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Parma conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Lazio VS Parma
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio

(Home)
11 Oct
Lazio
3 : 1
Monza
03 Oct
Lazio
3 : 3
Juve Stabia
27 Sept
Lazio
2 : 0
Arezzo
19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio
12 Sept
Lazio
2 : 2
AC Milan
Page 1 of 7

Parma

(Away)
10 Oct
Inter
3 : 0
Parma
20 Sept
Parma
2 : 1
Genoa
14 Sept
Como
2 : 1
Parma
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
01 Sept
Parma
0 : 2
Cremonese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 6 5 1 0 18:8 16
2 Lazio 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
3 AS Roma 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
4 Cagliari 6 4 1 1 6:3 13
5 AC Milan 6 3 3 0 11:5 12
6 Juventus 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
7 Como 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
8 Napoli 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
9 Frosinone 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
10 Atalanta 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
11 Sassuolo 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
12 Torino 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
13 Lecce 6 2 0 4 6:12 6
14 Bologna 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Udinese 6 1 1 4 9:13 4
16 Monza 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
17 Genoa 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
18 Parma 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Fiorentina 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
20 Venezia 6 0 0 6 5:16 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)