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Lazio vs Pisa Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Gila M.
23' Event
Moreo S.
Assist: Aebischer M.
29'
Noslin T.

AI Match Summary

Lazio in this Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lazio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Lazio
20%
Draws
28%
Pisa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Lazio have won more games recently than Pisa.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Lazio taking it.
  • Regular Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Lazio Clean Sheet 68%
Pisa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio Pisa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.69 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Serie A
Lazio vs Pisa
2:1
Oct 30, 2025 Serie A
Pisa vs Lazio
0:0
May 5, 1991 Serie A
Pisa vs Lazio
0:1
Dec 30, 1990 Serie A
Lazio vs Pisa
0:0
May 14, 1989 Serie A
Lazio vs Pisa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lazio Compare

Top Goalscorer Dele-Bashiru F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Pisa Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio 95 / 100
Pisa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio Pisa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pisa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Lazio has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lazio's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Lazio VS Pisa
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio

(Home)
27 Sept
Lazio
2 : 0
Arezzo
19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio
12 Sept
Lazio
2 : 2
AC Milan
07 Sept
Udinese
1 : 2
Lazio
30 Aug
Lazio
1 : 0
Genoa
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Pisa

(Away)
20 Sept
Mantova
2 : 2
Pisa
15 Sept
Fiorentina
3 : 0
Pisa
11 Sept
Pisa
1 : 4
Entella
06 Sept
Juve Stabia
0 : 3
Pisa
30 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Catanzaro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 89:35 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 58:36 76
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 59:31 73
4 Como 38 20 11 7 65:29 71
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 53:35 70
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 61:34 69
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 51:36 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 49:46 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 41:40 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 45:48 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 46:50 49
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 44:63 45
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 28:46 45
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 40:53 43
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 41:50 42
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 28:50 38
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 32:57 34
19 Verona 38 3 12 23 25:61 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 26:71 18
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)