Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lazio W vs AS Roma W Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Campo Mirko Fersini, Rome
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Karczewska N.
Assist: Le Bihan C.
57'
Sub
Veje K. In: Bergamaschi V.
Out: Veje K.
58'
Sub
Csiki A. In: Galli G.
Out: Csiki A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Women 2025/2026 game between Lazio W and AS Roma W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Roma W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lazio W
20%
Draws
47%
AS Roma W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Roma W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Lazio W haven't matched AS Roma W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives AS Roma W a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AS Roma W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Lazio W Clean Sheet 20%
AS Roma W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio W AS Roma W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 21
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.34 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.91 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Serie A Women
Lazio W vs AS Roma W
1:2
Jan 28, 2026 Coppa Italia Women
AS Roma W vs Lazio W
3:0
Jan 21, 2026 Coppa Italia Women
Lazio W vs AS Roma W
0:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie A Women
AS Roma W vs Lazio W
1:0
Sep 23, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
AS Roma W vs Lazio W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lazio W Compare

Top Goalscorer Karczewska N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.7
Avg xA / game 0.46

AS Roma W Compare

Top Goalscorer Giugliano M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thogersen F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio W 24 / 100
AS Roma W 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio W AS Roma W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Roma W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lazio W scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lazio W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

AS Roma W let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lazio W VS AS Roma W
1.43 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
71% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio W

(Home)
26 Sept
Lazio W
0 : 0
Parma W
06 Sept
Inter W
3 : 1
Lazio W
30 Aug
Lazio W
2 : 0
Parma W
23 Aug
Lazio W
4 : 2
Napoli W
17 May
Fiorentina W
2 : 1
Lazio W
Page 1 of 6

AS Roma W

(Away)
27 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 3
AS Roma W
23 Sept
Leuven W
0 : 0
AS Roma W
19 Sept
Juventus W
3 : 2
AS Roma W
13 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 7
AS Roma W
05 Sept
AS Roma W
3 : 0
Fiorentina W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)