Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lazio W vs Parma W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Campo Mirko Fersini, Rome
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Distefano G.
27'
Simonetti F.
33'
Sub
Monnecchi M. In: Benoit A.
Out: Monnecchi M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Women 2025/2026 game between Lazio W and Parma W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lazio W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Lazio W
20%
Draws
38%
Parma W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lazio W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Parma W haven't matched Lazio W's recent run of results.
  • Lazio W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie A Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Lazio W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Lazio W Clean Sheet 17%
Parma W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio W Parma W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 4
Draws 4 12
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie A Women
Parma W vs Lazio W
1:3
Dec 21, 2025 Coppa Italia Women
Parma W vs Lazio W
0:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie A Women
Lazio W vs Parma W
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
Lazio W vs Parma W
3:1
May 19, 2024 Serie B Women
Lazio W vs Parma W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lazio W Compare

Top Goalscorer Piemonte M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Parma W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio W 41 / 100
Parma W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio W Parma W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lazio W scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Parma W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Parma W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lazio W VS Parma W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio W

(Home)
17 May
Fiorentina W
2 : 1
Lazio W
10 May
Lazio W
2 : 0
Ternana W
03 May
Parma W
1 : 3
Lazio W
25 Apr
Lazio W
0 : 3
Sassuolo W
04 Apr
Inter W
5 : 2
Lazio W
Page 1 of 6

Parma W

(Away)
17 May
Parma W
1 : 3
Juventus W
10 May
AC Milan W
3 : 1
Parma W
03 May
Parma W
1 : 3
Lazio W
25 Apr
Como W
1 : 1
Parma W
04 Apr
Parma W
2 : 0
Ternana W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Roma W22174144:1955
2Inter W22135449:2644
3Juventus W22116533:1939
4Fiorentina W22106633:3036
5Lazio W22103931:3033
6AC Milan W2295831:2632
7Napoli W2288630:2532
8Como W2286824:2230
9Sassuolo W22461217:3418
10Ternana W22451319:4017
11Parma W222101016:3116
12Genoa W22241618:4310
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)