Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lazio W vs Parma W

Italy Italy

Serie A Cup Women Campo Mirko Fersini, Rome
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Goldoni E.
Assist: Visentin N.
41' Event
Martin E.
Assist: Fordos B.
46'
Sub
Bowie T. In: Rabot I.
Out: Bowie T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lazio W
20%
Draws
29%
Parma W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lazio W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Parma W haven't matched Lazio W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lazio W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Lazio W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lazio W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Lazio W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Lazio W Clean Sheet 68%
Parma W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio W Parma W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Serie A Women
Lazio W vs Parma W
0:0
Aug 30, 2026 Serie A Cup Women
Lazio W vs Parma W
2:0
May 3, 2026 Serie A Women
Parma W vs Lazio W
1:3
Dec 21, 2025 Coppa Italia Women
Parma W vs Lazio W
0:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie A Women
Lazio W vs Parma W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lazio W Compare

Top Goalscorer Goldoni E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martin E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Parma W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio W 59 / 100
Parma W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio W Parma W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lazio W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Parma W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Lazio W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lazio W VS Parma W
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio W

(Home)
26 Sept
Lazio W
0 : 0
Parma W
06 Sept
Inter W
3 : 1
Lazio W
30 Aug
Lazio W
2 : 0
Parma W
23 Aug
Lazio W
4 : 2
Napoli W
17 May
Fiorentina W
2 : 1
Lazio W
Page 1 of 6

Parma W

(Away)
26 Sept
Lazio W
0 : 0
Parma W
19 Sept
Arezzo W
0 : 3
Parma W
06 Sept
Napoli W
1 : 0
Parma W
30 Aug
Lazio W
2 : 0
Parma W
21 Aug
Parma W
0 : 1
Inter W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Lazio W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Napoli W 3 1 0 2 3:10 3
4 Parma W 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sassuolo W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 AS Roma W 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Fiorentina W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Ternana W 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus W 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Como W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 AC Milan W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Como 1907 W 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)