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LDU Portoviejo vs Independiente Juniors Prediction & H2H Stats

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Reales Tamarindos, Portoviejo
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event

AI Match Summary

Independiente Juniors in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente Juniors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
LDU Portoviejo
30%
Draws
33%
Independiente Juniors
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: LDU Portoviejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Independiente Juniors haven't matched LDU Portoviejo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives LDU Portoviejo a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Independiente Juniors have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 68%
Independiente Juniors Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Portoviejo Independiente Juniors
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 9 11
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Independiente Juniors
0:1
Apr 30, 2026 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs LDU Portoviejo
2:1
Jun 9, 2025 Copa Ecuador
LDU Portoviejo vs Independiente Juniors
2:1
Sep 8, 2021 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Independiente Juniors
0:1
Jul 18, 2021 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs LDU Portoviejo
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Portoviejo 51 / 100
Independiente Juniors 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Portoviejo Independiente Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LDU Portoviejo scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: LDU Portoviejo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Independiente Juniors's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

LDU Portoviejo VS Independiente Juniors
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Portoviejo

(Home)
03 Oct
LDU Portoviejo
3 : 2
EL Nacional
24 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 2
22 de Julio
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
11 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
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Independiente Juniors

(Away)
02 Oct
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 2
Independiente Juniors
24 Sept
Independiente Juniors
2 : 3
Vinotinto
17 Sept
Independiente Juniors
1 : 1
Atletico FC
12 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 1
Independiente Juniors
04 Sept
Independiente Juniors
1 : 0
CD Cuenca Juniors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)