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LDU Portoviejo vs 22 de Julio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Reales Tamarindos, Portoviejo
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Arteaga A.
27' Event
Penalty Missed
35' Event
Burgos J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between LDU Portoviejo and 22 de Julio finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward LDU Portoviejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
LDU Portoviejo
35%
Draws
9%
22 de Julio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: LDU Portoviejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and LDU Portoviejo come out ahead of 22 de Julio on wins alone.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on LDU Portoviejo taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 20%
22 de Julio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Portoviejo 22 de Julio
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 3
Draws 10 4
Losses 8 22
Goals Scored 1.17 0.59
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs 22 de Julio
2:2
Aug 21, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs 22 de Julio
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Serie B
22 de Julio vs LDU Portoviejo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LDU Portoviejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Arteaga A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burgos J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

22 de Julio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Portoviejo 85 / 100
22 de Julio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Portoviejo 22 de Julio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Portoviejo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

22 de Julio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

LDU Portoviejo found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

LDU Portoviejo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

LDU Portoviejo VS 22 de Julio
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 3.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Portoviejo

(Home)
08 Oct
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 2
LDU Portoviejo
03 Oct
LDU Portoviejo
3 : 2
EL Nacional
24 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 2
22 de Julio
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
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22 de Julio

(Away)
07 Oct
22 de Julio
2 : 5
EL Nacional
03 Oct
Gualaceo
4 : 2
22 de Julio
24 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 2
22 de Julio
17 Sept
22 de Julio
1 : 7
Cumbaya
12 Sept
EL Nacional
3 : 0
22 de Julio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)