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LDU Portoviejo vs Barcelona SC

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador Estadio Reales Tamarindos, Portoviejo
Thu, Aug 6, 2026
3 - 0
12:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Quinonez Ruiz J. R.

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. LDU Portoviejo have averaged 1.03 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against Barcelona SC's 1.07 scored and 1.21 conceded. Head-to-head, LDU Portoviejo have won 1 to Barcelona SC's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 6, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.06 - 0.56) back LDU Portoviejo to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Under 2.5, BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
LDU Portoviejo
35%
Draws
32%
Barcelona SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and LDU Portoviejo come out ahead of Barcelona SC on wins alone.
  • Model gives LDU Portoviejo a 33% chance of winning this.
  • LDU Portoviejo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Barcelona SC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 68%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Portoviejo Barcelona SC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Copa Ecuador
LDU Portoviejo vs Barcelona SC
3:0
Mar 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Barcelona SC vs LDU Portoviejo
3:1
Oct 25, 2020 Liga Pro
LDU Portoviejo vs Barcelona SC
0:2
Mar 1, 2020 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs LDU Portoviejo
1:1
Oct 3, 2009 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs LDU Portoviejo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LDU Portoviejo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Barcelona SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinonez Ruiz J. R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Portoviejo 50 / 100
Barcelona SC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Portoviejo Barcelona SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Portoviejo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LDU Portoviejo scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Barcelona SC has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: LDU Portoviejo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

LDU Portoviejo VS Barcelona SC
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Portoviejo

(Home)
24 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 2
22 de Julio
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
11 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
05 Sept
EL Nacional
0 : 2
LDU Portoviejo
Page 1 of 6

Barcelona SC

(Away)
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1
Independiente del Valle
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
23 Aug
Barcelona SC
3 : 0
Orense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
LDU Quito -
TBD -
Africando 1
Independiente Juniors 2
Leones del Norte -
TBD -
Huaquillas FC 1
Rio Aguarico 0
Aucas -
TBD -
Guaranda 0
San Antonio 1
Dep. Cuenca -
TBD -
La Union 1
Cumbaya 0
Emelec -
TBD -
U.D. Juvenil 0
Daquilema 2
Guayaquil City -
TBD -
Astillero 2
22 de Julio 1
U. Catolica -
TBD -
Dunamis 1
EL Nacional 5
Orense -
TBD -
Domingo TSA 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle -
TBD -
Primero de Mayo 0
Dep. Santo Domingo 2
Manta -
TBD -
Nazareno 0
Nueve de Octubre 4
Mushuc Runa -
TBD -
Dep. Quito 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara -
TBD -
Quito 2
CD Cuenca Juniors 3
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
Insutec 4
Club Deportivo Ibarra 3
Libertad -
TBD -
Ind. Azogues 0
LDU Portoviejo 5
Delfin -
TBD -
Banos 2
Anaconda 1
Tecnico U. -
TBD -
Juventud Italiana 2
Atletico FC 1
1/16-finals
LDU Quito 2
Independiente Juniors 1
Leones del Norte 1
Huaquillas FC 0
Aucas 3
San Antonio 0
Dep. Cuenca 0
La Union 1
Emelec 0
Daquilema 1
Guayaquil City 1
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 4
EL Nacional 1
Orense 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 2
Dep. Santo Domingo 0
Manta 1
Nueve de Octubre 0
Mushuc Runa 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara 1
CD Cuenca Juniors 0
Barcelona SC 4
Insutec 2
Libertad 1
LDU Portoviejo 2
Delfin 2
Banos 0
Tecnico U. 0
Juventud Italiana 2
1/8-finals
LDU Quito 6
Leones del Norte 0
Aucas 2
La Union 1
Daquilema 0
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 3
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 1
Manta 0
Gualaceo 2
Macara 1
Barcelona SC 0
LDU Portoviejo 3
Delfin 1
Juventud Italiana 0
Quarter-finals
LDU Quito 1
Aucas 0
Astillero 0
U. Catolica 1
Independiente del Valle 2
Gualaceo 0
LDU Portoviejo 0
Delfin 2
Semi-finals
LDU Quito -
U. Catolica -
Independiente del Valle -
Delfin -
Final
TBD -
TBD -