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LDU Portoviejo vs Dep. Santo Domingo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Reales Tamarindos, Portoviejo
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Sanchez R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between LDU Portoviejo and Dep. Santo Domingo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward LDU Portoviejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
LDU Portoviejo
35%
Draws
35%
Dep. Santo Domingo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and LDU Portoviejo come out ahead of Dep. Santo Domingo on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 25%
Dep. Santo Domingo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Portoviejo Dep. Santo Domingo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.21 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Serie B
Dep. Santo Domingo vs LDU Portoviejo
2:2
Sep 11, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Dep. Santo Domingo
1:0
Jul 25, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Dep. Santo Domingo
1:0
May 5, 2026 Serie B
Dep. Santo Domingo vs LDU Portoviejo
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LDU Portoviejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Dep. Santo Domingo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Portoviejo 37 / 100
Dep. Santo Domingo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Portoviejo Dep. Santo Domingo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Santo Domingo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LDU Portoviejo's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

LDU Portoviejo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Dep. Santo Domingo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

LDU Portoviejo VS Dep. Santo Domingo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Portoviejo

(Home)
08 Oct
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 2
LDU Portoviejo
03 Oct
LDU Portoviejo
3 : 2
EL Nacional
24 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 2
22 de Julio
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
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Dep. Santo Domingo

(Away)
08 Oct
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 2
LDU Portoviejo
01 Oct
Cumbaya
0 : 3
Dep. Santo Domingo
27 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
Gualaceo
18 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
1 : 0
EL Nacional
11 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)