Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LDU Portoviejo vs EL Nacional

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Reales Tamarindos
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Espinola C.
76' Event
Valencia A.
90' Event
Nunez D.

AI Match Summary

LDU Portoviejo host EL Nacional in the Serie B. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. EL Nacional have shipped 2.13 goals a game lately, while LDU Portoviejo have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor LDU Portoviejo slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 0.88) point toward LDU Portoviejo. LDU Portoviejo in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
LDU Portoviejo
6%
Draws
4%
EL Nacional
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: LDU Portoviejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • LDU Portoviejo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to EL Nacional.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for LDU Portoviejo.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie B provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 68%
EL Nacional Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Portoviejo EL Nacional
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Serie B
EL Nacional vs LDU Portoviejo
0:1
Mar 28, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs EL Nacional
2:1
Sep 1, 2021 Serie B
EL Nacional vs LDU Portoviejo
1:1
Jul 14, 2021 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs EL Nacional
2:0
Jun 3, 2021 Serie B
EL Nacional vs LDU Portoviejo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LDU Portoviejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Espinola C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nunez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

EL Nacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Valencia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Portoviejo 95 / 100
EL Nacional 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Portoviejo EL Nacional

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LDU Portoviejo scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

EL Nacional let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

LDU Portoviejo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

EL Nacional lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LDU Portoviejo VS EL Nacional
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1585219:1129
2Atletico FC1568117:1226
3CD Cuenca Juniors1675418:1826
4Independiente Juniors1566317:1124
5Cumbaya1656519:1621
6Vinotinto1555520:1320
7San Antonio1547418:1519
8LDU Portoviejo1654714:2019
9Dep. Santo Domingo1556412:1018
10Gualaceo1565413:1017
1122 de Julio153398:216
12EL Nacional1604129:271