Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LDU Portoviejo vs Gualaceo

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Reales Tamarindos, Portoviejo
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Gracia A.

AI Match Summary

LDU Portoviejo in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored LDU Portoviejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
LDU Portoviejo
30%
Draws
39%
Gualaceo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gualaceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gualaceo lately — more wins on the board than LDU Portoviejo.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 68%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Portoviejo Gualaceo
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs LDU Portoviejo
0:0
Jun 6, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Gualaceo
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs LDU Portoviejo
2:0
Sep 29, 2021 Serie B
Gualaceo vs LDU Portoviejo
1:0
Aug 4, 2021 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Gualaceo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LDU Portoviejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gracia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Gualaceo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Portoviejo 42 / 100
Gualaceo 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Portoviejo Gualaceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: LDU Portoviejo scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

LDU Portoviejo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gualaceo has conceded goals in 42% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

LDU Portoviejo VS Gualaceo
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Portoviejo

(Home)
24 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 2
22 de Julio
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
11 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
05 Sept
EL Nacional
0 : 2
LDU Portoviejo
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Gualaceo

(Away)
27 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
Gualaceo
25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
04 Sept
22 de Julio
0 : 3
Gualaceo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)