Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LDU Quito vs Dep. Cuenca

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Boolsen P.
52' Event
Deyverson
(Penalty)
56'
Sub
Klimowicz M. In: Benalcazar C.
Out: Klimowicz M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between LDU Quito and Dep. Cuenca finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
LDU Quito
35%
Draws
32%
Dep. Cuenca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and LDU Quito come out ahead of Dep. Cuenca on wins alone.
  • Model gives LDU Quito a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Quito Dep. Cuenca
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 15 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.28 0.74
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Dep. Cuenca
1:1
May 24, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs LDU Quito
1:1
Nov 13, 2025 Copa Ecuador
LDU Quito vs Dep. Cuenca
2:0
Jul 20, 2025 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Dep. Cuenca
2:2
Mar 29, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs LDU Quito
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LDU Quito Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dep. Cuenca Compare

Top Goalscorer Guevara E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Quito 49 / 100
Dep. Cuenca 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Quito Dep. Cuenca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Quito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: LDU Quito scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Dep. Cuenca let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

LDU Quito went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LDU Quito VS Dep. Cuenca
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Quito

(Home)
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0
LDU Quito
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
02 Sept
LDU Quito
0 : 0
Mushuc Runa
29 Aug
Guayaquil City
2 : 1
LDU Quito
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Dep. Cuenca

(Away)
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Libertad
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
22 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 0
Mushuc Runa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)