Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LDU Quito vs Emelec

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Corozo J.
Assist: Quinonez Y.
16'
Valencia S.
18' Event
Segovia L.
Assist: Deyverson

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between LDU Quito and Emelec finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward LDU Quito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
LDU Quito
30%
Draws
33%
Emelec
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: LDU Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and LDU Quito come out ahead of Emelec on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans LDU Quito's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 68%
Emelec Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Quito Emelec
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.39 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Emelec
2:0
Apr 25, 2026 Liga Pro
Emelec vs LDU Quito
1:0
Dec 4, 2025 Copa Ecuador
LDU Quito vs Emelec
1:1
Nov 18, 2025 Copa Ecuador
Emelec vs LDU Quito
1:2
Jul 12, 2025 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Emelec
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LDU Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Corozo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Segovia L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Emelec Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Quito 68 / 100
Emelec 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Quito Emelec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Quito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LDU Quito found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Emelec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

LDU Quito has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

LDU Quito VS Emelec
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Quito

(Home)
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0
LDU Quito
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
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Emelec

(Away)
20 Sept
Emelec
1 : 2
Libertad
13 Sept
Macara
1 : 0
Emelec
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0
Manta
04 Sept
Libertad
1 : 1
Emelec
30 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1
Leones del Norte
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)