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LDU Quito vs Independiente del Valle Prediction & H2H Stats

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
LDU Quito Logo

LDU Quito

0 - 2
FT
Independiente del Valle Logo

Independiente del Valle

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Angulo J.
Assist: Briones R.
35'
Papa J.
38'
Estrada M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Independiente del Valle in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente del Valle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
LDU Quito
30%
Draws
39%
Independiente del Valle
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independiente del Valle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Independiente del Valle lately — more wins on the board than LDU Quito.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 68%
Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Quito Independiente del Valle
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 23
Draws 9 2
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.38 2.46
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Independiente del Valle
0:2
Apr 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs LDU Quito
0:2
Dec 10, 2025 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs LDU Quito
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Independiente del Valle
2:1
Jun 22, 2025 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Independiente del Valle
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LDU Quito Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Independiente del Valle Compare

Top Goalscorer Angulo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Briones R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Quito 41 / 100
Independiente del Valle 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Quito Independiente del Valle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Quito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LDU Quito's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

LDU Quito went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Independiente del Valle let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

LDU Quito VS Independiente del Valle
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Quito

(Home)
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0
LDU Quito
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
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Independiente del Valle

(Away)
25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3
Independiente del Valle
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2
Flamengo RJ
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1
Macara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
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