Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito

LDU Quito

2 - 0

Lanus

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Pellegrino M.

37'

Cardozo A.

46'

Sub

Carrera R. In: Sepulveda M.

Out: Carrera R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

LDU Quito

15%

Draws

20%

Lanus

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: LDU Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to LDU Quito lately — more wins on the board than Lanus.
LDU Quito are the model's pick here, at 60%.
LDU Quito have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Lanus, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%

LDU Quito Clean Sheet 68%

Lanus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	LDU Quito	Lanus
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	14	12
Draws	7	4
Losses	7	13
Goals Scored	1.25	0.9
Goals Conceded	0.68	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Copa Libertadores

LDU Quito vs Lanus

2:0

Apr 28, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Lanus vs LDU Quito

1:0

Aug 22, 2024 Copa Sudamericana

Lanus vs LDU Quito

3:1

Aug 15, 2024 Copa Sudamericana

LDU Quito vs Lanus

1:2

Oct 1, 2009 Copa Sudamericana

Lanus vs LDU Quito

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LDU Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Cornejo F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

Lanus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85

Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Quito 68 / 100

Lanus 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

LDU Quito Lanus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Quito Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: LDU Quito scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: LDU Quito remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Lanus registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LDU Quito VS Lanus

1.38 Goals Scored 1

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Quito

(Home)

17 Aug

Aucas

0 : 1

LDU Quito

13 Aug

Mirassol

1 : 1

LDU Quito

08 Aug

LDU Quito

0 : 2

Independiente del Valle

04 Aug

LDU Quito

2 : 1

Delfin

30 Jul

LDU Quito

6 : 0

Leones del Norte

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Lanus

(Away)

17 Aug

Lanus

1 : 3

Independiente

12 Aug

Talleres Cordoba

0 : 3

Lanus

06 Aug

Union de Santa Fe

2 : 1

Lanus

03 Aug

Lanus

0 : 1

Instituto

30 Jul

Cienciano

4 : 0

Lanus

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