Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LDU Quito vs Macara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
LDU Quito Logo

LDU Quito

Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Macara Logo

Macara

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

LDU Quito host Macara in the Liga Pro. This one's hard to separate. Macara have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while LDU Quito have conceded 0.74 and scored 1.29. Head-to-head, LDU Quito have won 2 to Macara's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 5, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.13) back LDU Quito to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
LDU Quito
20%
Draws
48%
Macara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to LDU Quito lately — more wins on the board than Macara.
  • Win probability leans LDU Quito's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 20%
Macara Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Quito Macara
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 17 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Liga Pro
Macara vs LDU Quito
1:0
Mar 1, 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Macara
0:2
Aug 30, 2025 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Macara
1:1
May 10, 2025 Liga Pro
Macara vs LDU Quito
0:1
Aug 4, 2024 Liga Pro
Macara vs LDU Quito
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Quito 36 / 100
Macara 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Quito Macara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: LDU Quito scored in 69% of their last 35 outings.

Macara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: LDU Quito remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

LDU Quito VS Macara
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Quito

(Home)
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0
LDU Quito
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
Page 1 of 7

Macara

(Away)
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2
Macara
13 Sept
Macara
1 : 0
Emelec
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1
Macara
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2
Macara
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 31 25 2 4 75:34 77
2 Macara 31 16 6 9 43:34 54
3 U. Catolica 31 14 9 8 52:29 51
4 Aucas 32 14 8 10 35:32 50
5 LDU Quito 31 14 7 10 33:25 49
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)