Sport Picks

France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Océane

Le Havre

0 - 1

Marseille

Our Tip

Match Events

41'

Boufal S.

47'

Seko A.

55'

Greenwood M.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marseille in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marseille.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Le Havre

39%

Draws

31%

Marseille

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Le Havre haven't matched Marseille's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Marseille have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Le Havre Clean Sheet 18%

Marseille Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Le Havre	Marseille
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	6	15
Draws	12	4
Losses	11	12
Goals Scored	1.25	1
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ligue 1

Le Havre vs Marseille

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Oct 18, 2025 Ligue 1

Marseille vs Le Havre

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 4 - 1

6:2

May 10, 2025 Ligue 1

Le Havre vs Marseille

Possession: 50% - 46% Cards: 2 - 0

1:3

Jan 5, 2025 Ligue 1

Marseille vs Le Havre

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

5:1

May 19, 2024 Ligue 1

Le Havre vs Marseille

Possession: 45% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Havre 31 / 100

Marseille 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Le Havre Marseille

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAV Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Marseille let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Le Havre stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Le Havre's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Le Havre VS Marseille

1.25 Goals Scored 1

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	PSG	34	24	4	6	74:29	76
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	66:35	70
3	Lille	34	18	7	9	52:37	61
4	Lyon	34	18	6	10	53:40	60
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	63:45	59
6	Rennes	34	17	8	9	59:50	59
7	Monaco	34	16	6	12	60:54	54
8	Strasbourg	34	15	8	11	58:47	53
9	Toulouse	34	12	9	13	47:46	45
10	Lorient	34	11	12	11	48:51	45
11	Paris FC	34	11	11	12	47:50	44
12	Brest	34	10	9	15	43:55	39
13	Angers	34	9	9	16	29:48	36
14	Le Havre	34	7	14	13	32:44	35
15	Auxerre	34	8	10	16	34:44	34
16	Nice	34	7	11	16	37:60	32
17	Nantes	34	5	9	20	29:52	24
18	Metz	34	3	8	23	32:76	17