Sport Picks
Monterey Bay vs Sporting Jax
USA
USL Championship Cardinale Stadium, Seaside, CA 
Match Events
19'
19'
Garcia J.
Assist: Paul I.
26'
26'
Neville H.
58'
58'
Sub
Somersall R. In: Kuzain W.
Out: Somersall R.
AI Match Summary
Monterey Bay in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monterey Bay.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Monterey Bay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Monterey Bay have won more games recently than Sporting Jax.
- Monterey Bay are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Monterey Bay Clean Sheet 18%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monterey Bay | Sporting Jax |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 2.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 11, 2026 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs Sporting Jax
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Monterey Bay Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bidois R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Sporting Jax Compare
Top Goalscorer Sadlier K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monterey Bay 40 / 100
Sporting Jax 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monterey Bay Sporting Jax
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting Jax let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.
Attacking prowess: Monterey Bay scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Monterey Bay remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Monterey Bay VS Sporting Jax
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Monterey Bay
(Home) 19 Jul
Phoenix Rising
3 : 2 Monterey Bay
12 Jul
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Las Vegas Lights
05 Jul
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 Monterey Bay
21 Jun
Monterey Bay
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
18 Jun
FC Tulsa
2 : 0 Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Las Vegas Lights
21 Jun
Monterey Bay
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
11 Jun
Monterey Bay
2 : 1 Sporting Jax
31 May
Monterey Bay
4 : 1 Loudoun United
24 May
Monterey Bay
2 : 0 Birmingham Legion
Page 1 of 3
Sporting Jax
(Away) 18 Jul
Sporting Jax
2 : 2 Brooklyn FC
15 Jul
Sporting Jax
2 : 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
08 Jul
Austin FC
4 : 0 Sporting Jax
03 Jul
Loudoun United
2 : 2 Sporting Jax
20 Jun
Sporting Jax
2 : 5 Charleston
Page 1 of 6
08 Jul
Austin FC
4 : 0 Sporting Jax
03 Jul
Loudoun United
2 : 2 Sporting Jax
11 Jun
Monterey Bay
2 : 1 Sporting Jax
17 May
FC Naples
2 : 1 Sporting Jax
13 May
Sarasota Paradise
0 : 2 Sporting Jax
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 28:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Charleston | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32:24 | 27 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:15 | 27 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Rhode Island | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 21 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 22:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 12:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 19:29 | 15 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:27 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23:46 | 8 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 31 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 28 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 4 | New Mexico | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:15 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Tulsa | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Lexington | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:20 | 22 |
| 8 | El Paso Locomotive | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 22 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25:27 | 21 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17:27 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
