Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monterey Bay vs Sporting Jax

USA USA

USL Championship Cardinale Stadium, Seaside, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Garcia J.
Assist: Paul I.
26'
Neville H.
58'
Sub
Somersall R. In: Kuzain W.
Out: Somersall R.

AI Match Summary

Monterey Bay in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monterey Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Monterey Bay
33%
Draws
27%
Sporting Jax
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Monterey Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Monterey Bay have won more games recently than Sporting Jax.
  • Monterey Bay are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Monterey Bay Clean Sheet 18%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterey Bay Sporting Jax
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 6 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs Sporting Jax
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterey Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bidois R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sporting Jax Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadlier K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterey Bay 40 / 100
Sporting Jax 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterey Bay Sporting Jax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Jax let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.

Attacking prowess: Monterey Bay scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Monterey Bay remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Monterey Bay VS Sporting Jax
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterey Bay

(Home)
19 Jul
Phoenix Rising
3 : 2
Monterey Bay
12 Jul
Monterey Bay
2 : 3
Las Vegas Lights
05 Jul
San Antonio FC
0 : 0
Monterey Bay
21 Jun
Monterey Bay
1 : 0
El Paso Locomotive
18 Jun
FC Tulsa
2 : 0
Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Jax

(Away)
18 Jul
Sporting Jax
2 : 2
Brooklyn FC
15 Jul
Sporting Jax
2 : 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
08 Jul
Austin FC
4 : 0
Sporting Jax
03 Jul
Loudoun United
2 : 2
Sporting Jax
20 Jun
Sporting Jax
2 : 5
Charleston
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay17105228:1535
2Charleston1783632:2427
3Detroit City1683523:1527
4Louisville City1673626:2524
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds1672719:1923
6Rhode Island1564525:1822
7Indy Eleven1563618:1721
8Miami FC1856722:2921
9Hartford Athletic1648412:1420
10Loudoun United1629519:2915
11Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
12Brooklyn FC1634917:2713
13Sporting Jax18151223:468
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1787227:1931
2San Antonio FC1777322:1928
3Colorado Springs1674528:2325
4New Mexico1473419:1524
5Sacramento Republic1565419:1523
6FC Tulsa1565418:1623
7Lexington1664624:2022
8El Paso Locomotive1664627:2522
9Las Vegas Lights1663724:2621
10Phoenix Rising1756623:2421
11Oakland Roots1756625:2721
12Monterey Bay17431017:2715
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)