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Le Havre vs Auxerre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Océane, Le Havre
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Le Havre host Auxerre in the Ligue 1. This one's hard to separate. Le Havre have averaged 1.18 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Auxerre's 1.6 scored and 1.44 conceded. Head-to-head, Le Havre have won 3 to Auxerre's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.19) point toward Auxerre. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Le Havre
15%
Draws
59%
Auxerre
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auxerre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Auxerre have won more games recently than Le Havre.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Le Havre Clean Sheet 20%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Havre Auxerre
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.18 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Auxerre
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Le Havre
0:1
May 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Le Havre
1:2
Sep 1, 2024 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Auxerre
3:1
May 7, 2022 Ligue 2
Le Havre vs Auxerre
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Havre 31 / 100
Auxerre 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Havre Auxerre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Havre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Havre's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Auxerre has conceded goals in 72% of their last 25 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Le Havre went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Le Havre VS Auxerre
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Havre

(Home)
10 Oct
Lille
1 : 0
Le Havre
02 Oct
Le Havre
6 : 1
Boulogne
19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2
Le Havre
12 Sept
Le Havre
0 : 0
Angers
05 Sept
Le Havre
1 : 2
Brest
Page 1 of 6

Auxerre

(Away)
02 Oct
Auxerre
4 : 3
Clermont
20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1
Brest
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3
Angers
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Lyon 6 3 2 1 11:4 11
3 Paris FC 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
4 Lille 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Rennes 5 3 1 1 8:9 10
6 PSG 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
7 Lens 6 2 1 3 11:10 7
8 Angers 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
9 Strasbourg 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
10 Le Mans 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
11 Auxerre 5 2 0 3 7:12 6
12 Brest 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Lorient 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
14 Toulouse 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
15 Nice 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
16 Troyes 5 1 1 3 4:11 4
17 Marseille 5 1 0 4 7:8 3
18 Le Havre 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)