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Le Havre vs Brest Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Océane, Le Havre
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Mpasi-Nzau L.
12' Event
Doumbia K.
(Penalty)
22'
Sub
Lala K. In: Zogbe L.
Out: Lala K.

AI Match Summary

Brest in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Le Havre
35%
Draws
46%
Brest
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brest lately — more wins on the board than Le Havre.
  • Model gives Le Havre a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Brest have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Le Havre Clean Sheet 17%
Brest Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Havre Brest
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 7
Draws 11 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Brest
1:2
Mar 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Brest vs Le Havre
2:0
Oct 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Brest
1:0
Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Brest vs Le Havre
1:0
Jan 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Brest
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Havre Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumbia K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Havre 36 / 100
Brest 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Havre Brest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brest has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Le Havre scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Le Havre remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Le Havre VS Brest
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Havre

(Home)
19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2
Le Havre
12 Sept
Le Havre
0 : 0
Angers
05 Sept
Le Havre
1 : 2
Brest
29 Aug
Lyon
1 : 1
Le Havre
23 Aug
Le Havre
0 : 1
Monaco
Page 1 of 6

Brest

(Away)
20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1
Brest
13 Sept
Brest
0 : 1
PSG
05 Sept
Le Havre
1 : 2
Brest
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2
Toulouse
22 Aug
Le Mans
2 : 2
Brest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Lyon 5 3 2 0 10:2 11
3 Paris FC 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
4 Lille 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Rennes 5 3 1 1 8:9 10
6 PSG 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
7 Angers 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Strasbourg 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
9 Le Mans 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
10 Auxerre 5 2 0 3 7:12 6
11 Brest 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
12 Lorient 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Toulouse 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
14 Nice 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
15 Lens 5 1 1 3 9:9 4
16 Troyes 5 1 1 3 4:11 4
17 Marseille 5 1 0 4 7:8 3
18 Le Havre 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)