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Le Havre vs PSG - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Océane, Le Havre
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Le Havre host PSG in the Ligue 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Le Havre have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against PSG's 2.23 scored and 1.1 conceded. Past meetings favor PSG slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 2.06) point toward PSG. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Le Havre
15%
Draws
67%
PSG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • PSG have won more games recently than Le Havre.
  • Model gives PSG a 67% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and PSG have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Le Havre Clean Sheet 10%
PSG Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Havre PSG
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 20
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.21 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs PSG
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 Ligue 1
PSG vs Le Havre
3:0
Apr 19, 2025 Ligue 1
PSG vs Le Havre
2:1
Aug 16, 2024 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs PSG
1:4
Apr 27, 2024 Ligue 1
PSG vs Le Havre
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Havre 14 / 100
PSG 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Havre PSG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Le Havre's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

PSG has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Le Havre stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Le Havre VS PSG
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Havre

(Home)
18 Oct
Le Havre
1 : 3
Auxerre
10 Oct
Lille
1 : 0
Le Havre
02 Oct
Le Havre
6 : 1
Boulogne
19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2
Le Havre
12 Sept
Le Havre
0 : 0
Angers
Page 1 of 6

PSG

(Away)
20 Oct
PSG
4 : 2
Barcelona
17 Oct
Strasbourg
1 : 3
PSG
14 Oct
Manchester City
2 : 4
PSG
10 Oct
PSG
3 : 1
Le Mans
20 Sept
Marseille
1 : 2
PSG
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyon 7 4 2 1 13:5 14
2 PSG 7 4 2 1 14:9 14
3 Paris FC 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
4 Lille 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
5 Monaco 7 4 2 1 10:6 14
6 Rennes 7 4 1 2 15:14 13
7 Lorient 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
8 Lens 7 3 1 3 14:11 10
9 Marseille 7 3 0 4 14:10 9
10 Brest 7 2 3 2 13:10 9
11 Toulouse 7 2 3 2 12:11 9
12 Auxerre 7 3 0 4 11:17 9
13 Nice 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Strasbourg 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
15 Angers 7 2 1 4 9:15 7
16 Le Mans 7 1 3 3 10:15 6
17 Troyes 7 1 1 5 5:16 4
18 Le Havre 7 0 2 5 5:11 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)