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Le Havre W vs Lens W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Stade Océane, Le Havre
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Le Havre W host Lens W in the Premiere Ligue Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Lens W have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Le Havre W have conceded 2.4 and scored 1.33. Past meetings favor Lens W slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 12, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 2.25) point toward Lens W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Le Havre W
15%
Draws
8%
Lens W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Le Havre W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Lens W have won more games recently than Le Havre W.
  • Win probability leans Le Havre W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lens W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Le Havre W Clean Sheet 10%
Lens W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Havre W Lens W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.33 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Le Havre W vs Lens W
2:3
Apr 22, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Le Havre W vs Lens W
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Lens W vs Le Havre W
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Le Havre W vs Lens W
1:2
Aug 19, 2022 Club Friendly Women
Le Havre W vs Lens W
7:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Havre W 47 / 100
Lens W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Havre W Lens W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Havre W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Le Havre W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Lens W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Le Havre W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Le Havre W VS Lens W
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Havre W

(Home)
03 Oct
Le Havre W
2 : 0
Saint-Malo W
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Marseille W
1 : 0
Le Havre W
Page 1 of 6

Lens W

(Away)
03 Oct
Paris FC W
4 : 1
Lens W
26 Sept
Auxerre W
1 : 0
Lens W
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
05 Sept
Lens W
0 : 2
PSG W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)