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Le Havre W vs OL Lyonnes W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Stade Océane, Le Havre
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Le Guilly E.
Own Goal
31'
Champagnac S.
32' Event
Hegerberg A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

OL Lyonnes W in this Premiere Ligue Women matchup, with the score ending 1-8 — backing the pre-match view that favored OL Lyonnes W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Le Havre W
15%
Draws
50%
OL Lyonnes W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: OL Lyonnes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Le Havre W haven't matched OL Lyonnes W's recent run of results.
  • OL Lyonnes W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • OL Lyonnes W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Le Havre W Clean Sheet 10%
OL Lyonnes W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Havre W OL Lyonnes W
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 9 28
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.33 3.72
Goals Conceded 2.4 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Le Havre W vs OL Lyonnes W
1:8
Mar 18, 2026 Coupe de France Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Le Havre W
7:0
Mar 10, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Le Havre W
3:0
Dec 13, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Le Havre W vs OL Lyonnes W
0:7
May 7, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Le Havre W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Havre W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallais T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

OL Lyonnes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dumornay D. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benyahia I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.41
Avg xA / game 2.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Havre W 10 / 100
OL Lyonnes W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Havre W OL Lyonnes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OL Lyonnes W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Le Havre W scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Le Havre W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

OL Lyonnes W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 36 matches.

Scoring Trends

Le Havre W VS OL Lyonnes W
1.13 Goals Scored 4.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Havre W

(Home)
03 Oct
Le Havre W
2 : 0
Saint-Malo W
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Marseille W
1 : 0
Le Havre W
Page 1 of 6

OL Lyonnes W

(Away)
03 Oct
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Toulouse W
30 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
0 : 0
Chelsea W
23 Sept
Servette W
0 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
12 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
7 : 1
Paris FC W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)