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Le Havre W vs Saint-Malo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Stade Océane, Le Havre
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Nankya S.
26' Event
Gallais T.
(Penalty)
31' Event
Gallais T.
Assist: Mendy M.

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Ligue Women game between Le Havre W and Saint-Malo W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Le Havre W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Le Havre W
15%
Draws
34%
Saint-Malo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Le Havre W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saint-Malo W come out ahead of Le Havre W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Le Havre W Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Malo W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Havre W Saint-Malo W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 9 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.29 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Le Havre W vs Saint-Malo W
2:0
Aug 7, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Le Havre W vs Saint-Malo W
1:2
Nov 14, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Le Havre W
1:3
Aug 13, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Le Havre W vs Saint-Malo W
5:0
Aug 16, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Saint-Malo W vs Le Havre W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Havre W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallais T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Saint-Malo W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Havre W 36 / 100
Saint-Malo W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Havre W Saint-Malo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Malo W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Havre W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Saint-Malo W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Le Havre W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Le Havre W VS Saint-Malo W
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Havre W

(Home)
03 Oct
Le Havre W
2 : 0
Saint-Malo W
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Marseille W
1 : 0
Le Havre W
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Saint-Malo W

(Away)
03 Oct
Le Havre W
2 : 0
Saint-Malo W
19 Sept
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
05 Sept
Strasbourg W
3 : 2
Saint-Malo W
29 Aug
Saint-Malo W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)