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Le Mans II vs Le Havre II

France France

CFA - Group D 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Le Mans II play Le Havre II in the CFA - Group D 2012/2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Le Mans II averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Le Havre II averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, Le Mans II won 1, Le Havre II won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 21, 2013 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Le Mans II and 2.31 for Le Havre II. This points to a Le Mans II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Le Mans II
21%
Draws
36%
Le Havre II
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Le Mans II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Le Mans II picked up more points recently compared to Le Havre II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Le Mans II Clean Sheet 10%
Le Havre II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Mans II Le Havre II
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.27 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.59
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Le Havre II
3:1
Dec 1, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Le Havre II vs Le Mans II
1:0
Feb 25, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Le Havre II vs Le Mans II
2:2
Sep 2, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Le Havre II
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Mans II 41 / 100
Le Havre II 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Mans II Le Havre II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Le Mans II or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Le Mans II attacking → ← attacking Le Havre II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Mans II scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Le Havre II let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Le Mans II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Le Havre II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 32
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lucon34196968:4597
2Trelissac34187958:3993
3Les Herbiers34169951:3091
4Saint-Malo341315650:3188
5Romorantin3414101038:3286
6Bordeaux II341571251:4486
7Avranches341491150:3585
8Pontivy341481240:3684
9Concarneau3413101144:4483
10Fontenay3411131039:3980
11Le Mans II341351644:5378
12Plabennec3410121237:4676
13Stade Bordelais341191449:5376
14Viry-Chatillon341291338:4876
15Caen II341181545:5175
16Lorient II341071740:5771
17Le Havre II348101631:4766
18Saumur Olympique34542533:7653