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Le Mans II vs Pontivy Prediction & H2H Stats

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CFA - Group D 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

Le Mans II in this CFA - Group D 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Le Mans II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Le Mans II
30%
Draws
23%
Pontivy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Le Mans II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Le Mans II lately — more wins on the board than Pontivy.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular CFA - Group D 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Le Mans II have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Le Mans II Clean Sheet 10%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Mans II Pontivy
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.23 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Pontivy
2:0
Aug 25, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Le Mans II
2:0
Apr 29, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Pontivy
2:0
Dec 3, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Le Mans II
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Mans II 30 / 100
Pontivy 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Mans II Pontivy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Mans II's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Pontivy has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Pontivy's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Le Mans II VS Pontivy
0 Goals Scored 1.88
4 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Mans II

(Home)
16 Aug
Tours
4 : 0
Le Mans II
25 May
Trelissac
0 : 0
Le Mans II
18 May
Le Mans II
0 : 2
Concarneau
11 May
Viry-Chatillon
0 : 1
Le Mans II
04 May
Le Mans II
0 : 3
Lucon
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Pontivy

(Away)
03 Oct
Pontivy
0 : 1
Angouleme CFC
19 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
2 : 2
Pontivy
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1
Pontivy
29 Aug
Pontivy
1 : 1
Granville
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lucon 34 19 6 9 68:45 97
2 Trelissac 34 18 7 9 58:39 93
3 Les Herbiers 34 16 9 9 51:30 91
4 Saint-Malo 34 13 15 6 50:31 88
5 Romorantin 34 14 10 10 38:32 86
6 Bordeaux II 34 15 7 12 51:44 86
7 Avranches 34 14 9 11 50:35 85
8 Pontivy 34 14 8 12 40:36 84
9 Concarneau 34 13 10 11 44:44 83
10 Fontenay 34 11 13 10 39:39 80
11 Le Mans II 34 13 5 16 44:53 78
12 Plabennec 34 10 12 12 37:46 76
13 Stade Bordelais 34 11 9 14 49:53 76
14 Viry-Chatillon 34 12 9 13 38:48 76
15 Caen II 34 11 8 15 45:51 75
16 Lorient II 34 10 7 17 40:57 71
17 Le Havre II 34 8 10 16 31:47 66
18 Saumur Olympique 34 5 4 25 33:76 53
Promotion - National 2013/2014 (Main)