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Le Mans II vs Saumur Olympique

France France

CFA - Group D 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Le Mans II play Saumur Olympique in the CFA - Group D 2012/2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Le Mans II averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. Saumur Olympique averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. In past meetings, Le Mans II won 2, Saumur Olympique won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 6, 2013 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Le Mans II and 1.55 for Saumur Olympique. This points to a Le Mans II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Le Mans II
24%
Draws
36%
Saumur Olympique
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Le Mans II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Le Mans II picked up more points recently compared to Saumur Olympique.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.55 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Le Mans II Clean Sheet 15%
Saumur Olympique Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Mans II Saumur Olympique
Matches Played 31 39
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.23 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.72

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Saumur Olympique
1:0
Nov 10, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Saumur Olympique vs Le Mans II
2:4
Feb 18, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Saumur Olympique vs Le Mans II
0:0
Aug 26, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Saumur Olympique
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Mans II 39 / 100
Saumur Olympique 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Mans II Saumur Olympique

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Le Mans II or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Le Mans II attacking → ← attacking Saumur Olympique

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Mans II scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Saumur Olympique let in goals in 77% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Le Mans II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Saumur Olympique lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 43
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lucon34196968:4597
2Trelissac34187958:3993
3Les Herbiers34169951:3091
4Saint-Malo341315650:3188
5Romorantin3414101038:3286
6Bordeaux II341571251:4486
7Avranches341491150:3585
8Pontivy341481240:3684
9Concarneau3413101144:4483
10Fontenay3411131039:3980
11Le Mans II341351644:5378
12Plabennec3410121237:4676
13Stade Bordelais341191449:5376
14Viry-Chatillon341291338:4876
15Caen II341181545:5175
16Lorient II341071740:5771
17Le Havre II348101631:4766
18Saumur Olympique34542533:7653