Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Del Castillo R.
Assist: Doumbia K.
43'
43'
Ajorque L.
45'
45'
Gueye D.
Assist: Mafouta L.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 1 game between Le Mans and Brest finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
35%
43%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brest
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Le Mans carry the better recent record into this one.
- Le Mans are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Le Mans Clean Sheet 18%
Brest Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Le Mans | Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Le Mans vs Brest
2:2
Feb 21, 2005 Ligue 2
Brest vs Le Mans
1:0
Sep 17, 2004 Ligue 2
Le Mans vs Brest
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Le Mans Compare
Top Goalscorer Gueye D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mafouta L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Brest Compare
Top Goalscorer Del Castillo R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Doumbia K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Le Mans 36 / 100
Brest 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Le Mans Brest
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Le Mans's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Brest let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Le Mans remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Le Mans VS Brest
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Le Mans
(Home) 30 Aug
Rennes
3 : 2 Le Mans
22 Aug
Le Mans
2 : 2 Brest
15 Aug
Le Mans
0 : 1 Le Havre
08 Aug
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0 Le Mans
08 Aug
Le Mans
1 : 1 UNFP
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Le Mans
2 : 2 Brest
15 Aug
Le Mans
0 : 1 Le Havre
08 Aug
Le Mans
1 : 1 UNFP
25 Jul
Le Mans
1 : 0 Nantes
22 Jul
Le Mans
3 : 1 Versailles
Page 1 of 3
Brest
(Away) 29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2 Toulouse
22 Aug
Le Mans
2 : 2 Brest
16 Aug
Nottingham
2 : 0 Brest
08 Aug
Brest
2 : 2 Venezia
05 Aug
Stade Briochin
1 : 2 Brest
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Le Mans
2 : 2 Brest
16 Aug
Nottingham
2 : 0 Brest
05 Aug
Stade Briochin
1 : 2 Brest
10 May
PSG
1 : 0 Brest
03 May
Paris FC
4 : 0 Brest
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Paris FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 4 |
| 3 | Lille | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Lyon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 5 | Rennes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 6 | Troyes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 7 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 8 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 10 | Strasbourg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 11 | PSG | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 12 | Brest | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 13 | Le Mans | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 15 | Lorient | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 16 | Toulouse | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 17 | Nice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
