Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Del Castillo R.
Assist: Doumbia K.
43'
43'
Ajorque L.
45'
45'
Gueye D.
Assist: Mafouta L.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 1 game between Le Mans and Brest finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
30%
62%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brest
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Le Mans carry the better recent record into this one.
- Brest are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Le Mans Clean Sheet 10%
Brest Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Le Mans | Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Le Mans vs Brest
2:2
Feb 21, 2005 Ligue 2
Brest vs Le Mans
1:0
Sep 17, 2004 Ligue 2
Le Mans vs Brest
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Le Mans Compare
Top Goalscorer Gueye D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mafouta L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Brest Compare
Top Goalscorer Del Castillo R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Doumbia K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Le Mans 10 / 100
Brest 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Le Mans Brest
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brest Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brest's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Le Mans scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Le Mans remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Le Mans VS Brest
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Le Mans
(Home) 31 Oct
Troyes
2 : 0 Le Mans
25 Oct
Auxerre
1 : 1 Le Mans
16 Oct
Le Mans
0 : 3 Toulouse
10 Oct
PSG
3 : 1 Le Mans
02 Oct
Guingamp
2 : 1 Le Mans
Page 1 of 6
16 Oct
Le Mans
0 : 3 Toulouse
19 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 1 Lorient
13 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 2 Lens
22 Aug
Le Mans
2 : 2 Brest
15 Aug
Le Mans
0 : 1 Le Havre
Page 1 of 3
Brest
(Away) 02 Nov
Lorient
0 : 2 Brest
23 Oct
Brest
1 : 2 Nice
17 Oct
Lille
1 : 1 Brest
10 Oct
Brest
5 : 1 Angers
03 Oct
Brest
2 : 2 Monza
Page 1 of 6
02 Nov
Lorient
0 : 2 Brest
17 Oct
Lille
1 : 1 Brest
20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1 Brest
05 Sept
Le Havre
1 : 2 Brest
22 Aug
Le Mans
2 : 2 Brest
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Lyon | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 | Marseille | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Brest | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Lorient | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 | Troyes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
