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Le Mans W vs Lille W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Le Mans W host Lille W in the Seconde Ligue Women. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Le Mans W have averaged 1.55 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Lille W's 1.27 scored and 1.53 conceded. Past meetings favor Le Mans W slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 0.75) point toward Le Mans W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Le Mans W
35%
Draws
24%
Lille W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Le Mans W have won more games recently than Lille W.
  • Model gives Le Mans W a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 20%
Lille W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Mans W Lille W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Lille W
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Le Mans W
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Lille W vs Le Mans W
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Le Mans W
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Lille W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Mans W 76 / 100
Lille W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Mans W Lille W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Mans W's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Lille W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Le Mans W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Le Mans W VS Lille W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Mans W

(Home)
04 Oct
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
29 Aug
Roubaix W
1 : 0
Le Mans W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
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Lille W

(Away)
04 Oct
Lille W
1 : 1
Grenoble W
26 Sept
Strasbourg W
4 : 3
Lille W
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
13 Sept
Lille W
2 : 2
Bourges 18 W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Roubaix W 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Le Mans W 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Metz W 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Cannes W 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
5 Lille W 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
6 Auxerre W 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 St Etienne W 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
8 Nice W 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
9 Thonon Evian W 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
10 Bourges 18 W 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
11 Grenoble W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)