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Le Poire Sur Vie vs Saumur Olympique - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Lopes M.
90' Event
Chauvet E.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group B game between Le Poire Sur Vie and Saumur Olympique finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Le Poire Sur Vie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Le Poire Sur Vie
15%
Draws
21%
Saumur Olympique
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Le Poire Sur Vie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Le Poire Sur Vie come out ahead of Saumur Olympique on wins alone.
  • Model gives Le Poire Sur Vie a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Le Poire Sur Vie Clean Sheet 20%
Saumur Olympique Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Poire Sur Vie Saumur Olympique
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 5
Draws 3 12
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.82 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.89
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Le Poire Sur Vie vs Saumur Olympique
2:0
Mar 29, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Le Poire Sur Vie vs Saumur Olympique
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Saumur Olympique vs Le Poire Sur Vie
3:1
Dec 4, 2016 Coupe de France
Saumur Olympique vs Le Poire Sur Vie
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Poire Sur Vie Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chauvet E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Saumur Olympique Compare

Avg xG / game 0.81
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Poire Sur Vie 42 / 100
Saumur Olympique 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Poire Sur Vie Saumur Olympique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saumur Olympique's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Le Poire Sur Vie has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Saumur Olympique has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Le Poire Sur Vie VS Saumur Olympique
1.14 Goals Scored 0.63
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Poire Sur Vie

(Home)
03 Oct
Le Poire Sur Vie
3 : 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
19 Sept
Lorient II
1 : 2
Le Poire Sur Vie
12 Sept
Le Poire Sur Vie
2 : 0
Saumur Olympique
05 Sept
Granville
2 : 1
Le Poire Sur Vie
28 Aug
Le Poire Sur Vie
0 : 4
Saint-Malo
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Saumur Olympique

(Away)
03 Oct
Saint-Malo
2 : 1
Saumur Olympique
19 Sept
Saumur Olympique
1 : 4
Stade Briochin
12 Sept
Le Poire Sur Vie
2 : 0
Saumur Olympique
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1
Pontivy
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0
Saumur Olympique
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
2 Bayonne 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
3 Granville 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
4 Avranches 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
5 Dinan 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Saint-Malo 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
7 Tarbes 6 2 3 1 3:2 9
8 Lorient II 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
9 Le Poire Sur Vie 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Stade Briochin 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
11 Les Herbiers 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
12 St. Colomban Locmine 6 1 2 3 3:5 5
13 Saumur Olympique 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
14 Pontivy 6 0 3 3 5:10 3
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 6 0 3 3 3:10 3
16 Chauray 6 0 1 5 3:11 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)