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Le Puy-en-Velay vs Aubagne FC Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Charles Massot, Espaly-Saint Marcel
Le Puy-en-Velay Logo

Le Puy-en-Velay

1 - 2
FT
Aubagne FC Logo

Aubagne FC

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Adelaide M.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Bentoumi M.
66'
Sub
Diebold Y. In: Bouleghcha I.
Out: Diebold Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aubagne FC in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aubagne FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Le Puy-en-Velay
20%
Draws
51%
Aubagne FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aubagne FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Le Puy-en-Velay have won more games recently than Aubagne FC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 20%
Aubagne FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Puy-en-Velay Aubagne FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.21 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Aubagne FC
1:2
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 3
Aubagne FC vs Le Puy-en-Velay
1:4
Apr 20, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Aubagne FC
1:2
Dec 2, 2023 National 1 - Group A
Aubagne FC vs Le Puy-en-Velay
0:0
Nov 16, 2013 Coupe de France
Aubagne FC vs Le Puy-en-Velay
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Puy-en-Velay Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Aubagne FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bentoumi M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Puy-en-Velay 32 / 100
Aubagne FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Puy-en-Velay Aubagne FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aubagne FC conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Le Puy-en-Velay scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Le Puy-en-Velay stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Le Puy-en-Velay VS Aubagne FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Puy-en-Velay

(Home)
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1
Villefranche
12 Sept
Quevilly
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Orleans
29 Aug
Cannes
2 : 0
Le Puy-en-Velay
Page 1 of 6

Aubagne FC

(Away)
26 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 2
Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Rouen
1 : 0
Aubagne FC
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Concarneau
05 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
0 : 0
Aubagne FC
29 Aug
Aubagne FC
2 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury 91 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)